Order book. Smarkets. Edition of 2026-08-25.

11 of the 212 runners on Tue 25 Aug moved further than usual for their price

We sample the Smarkets order book every fifteen minutes until the off. This is the finished record for the races run on Tue 25 Aug: 212 runners in 26 races, each with the first and the last price we saw before it ran. 11 of them moved further than usual for their price.

Corrected. Reissued on 6 October 2026. A faulty country filter had let runners at meetings outside the UK and Ireland, mostly German and Saudi, into this archive. Any that ran on this day have been removed, and every percentile has been recomputed against a baseline without them.

“Usual” is judged against the 5 days we had collected before this one, and nothing later. A move is compared with what had been measured by the evening before, so the count above does not change as the archive grows.

212

runners tracked to the off

races

outside the usual range

of earlier collection it was judged against

Outside the usual range

Race	Runner	First seen	Last seen	Move	Last look	How unusual for this price
Lingfield 16:30	Anncanya	29.50	81.97	+177.9%	15 min	a larger drift than any measured at this price by then
Musselburgh 16:45	Pouting	42.02	84.75	+101.7%	under 1 min	bigger than 99% of moves measured at this price by then
Stratford 19:45	Stand Proud	14.20	5.30	-62.7%	under 1 min	bigger than 99% of moves measured at this price by then
Lingfield 14:30	Amused	7.69	4.45	-42.1%	under 1 min	bigger than 97% of moves measured at this price by then
Musselburgh 16:15	Monhammer	6.79	11.48	+69.0%	under 1 min	bigger than 97% of moves measured at this price by then
Musselburgh 14:45	Stay On Tab	20.81	11.24	-46.0%	under 1 min	bigger than 96% of moves measured at this price by then
Lingfield 16:00	Bird Of War	5.55	3.67	-33.8%	under 1 min	bigger than 96% of moves measured at this price by then
Lingfield 14:30	Thapa VC	11.49	17.87	+55.6%	under 1 min	bigger than 95% of moves measured at this price by then
Musselburgh 14:45	Needin' U	5.75	3.90	-32.1%	under 1 min	bigger than 95% of moves measured at this price by then
Bellewstown 16:55	Wegotogether	15.65	9.60	-38.7%	10 min	bigger than 95% of moves measured at this price by then
Bellewstown 17:30	Sunday Sovereign	85.47	41.67	-51.2%	under 1 min	bigger than 95% of moves measured at this price by then

Prices are the mid of the best back and lay on Smarkets, in decimal odds. A negative move is a price shortening. “Last look” is how long before the off we last saw a two-sided book for that runner. Race times are BST.

Every runner that day

Grouped by race, and within a race from the largest shortening to the largest drift, so that money leaving one runner for another shows at the two ends of the same block.

Musselburgh 14:15 9 runners

Runner	First seen	Last seen	Move	Last look	Spread
Threeoclockflyer	81.63	86.96	+6.5%	under 1 min	17.5%
Wild Orchid	15.15	16.25	+7.2%	under 1 min	3.1%
Inns And Out	9.39	10.48	+11.6%	under 1 min	9.6%
Coul Blue	82.30	99.01	+20.3%	2h 30m	20.0%
Gordons Girl	6.57	8.30	+26.2%	under 1 min	2.5%
Pigeon Pete	49.26	66.67	+35.3%	under 1 min	23.0%
Sweet Iris	8.07	11.48	+42.3%	under 1 min	8.7%
Diplomacy	55.40	81.97	+48.0%	under 1 min	18.2%
Basmaah	50.89	84.03	+65.1%	1h 30m	23.9%

Lingfield 14:30 9 runners, 2 outside the usual range

Runner	First seen	Last seen	Move	Last look	Spread
Amused	7.69	4.45	-42.1%	under 1 min	one-sided
Nezeeh	99.01	70.18	-29.1%	2h 15m	116.6%
Ernie's Valentine	22.94	19.96	-13.0%	under 1 min	one-sided
Majestic Wave	22.60	21.10	-6.6%	under 1 min	16.6%
Havana Touch	5.04	4.89	-2.9%	under 1 min	one-sided
Dannick	4.79	5.05	+5.3%	under 1 min	one-sided
Renesmee	32.89	39.92	+21.4%	under 1 min	one-sided
Great Blasket	4.07	5.42	+33.1%	under 1 min	one-sided
Thapa VC	11.49	17.87	+55.6%	under 1 min	one-sided

Musselburgh 14:45 7 runners, 2 outside the usual range

Runner	First seen	Last seen	Move	Last look	Spread
Bea Kindly	77.22	39.92	-48.3%	under 1 min	10.0%
Stay On Tab	20.81	11.24	-46.0%	under 1 min	4.4%
Needin' U	5.75	3.90	-32.1%	under 1 min	one-sided
Savoy Blue	29.46	22.94	-22.1%	under 1 min	8.7%
Mardy Bum	16.86	17.21	+2.1%	under 1 min	8.6%
Spectacular Diver	5.68	6.05	+6.4%	under 1 min	one-sided
Aodhan	6.79	8.00	+17.8%	under 1 min	one-sided

Lingfield 15:00 5 runners

Runner	First seen	Last seen	Move	Last look	Spread
Lady Of Lucca	95.24	58.31	-38.8%	under 1 min	34.2%
Thai Baht	10.46	10.48	+0.2%	under 1 min	one-sided
Cuban Promise	5.55	5.59	+0.8%	under 1 min	one-sided
Cotai Jaunt	31.30	34.31	+9.6%	under 1 min	one-sided
Dark Reign	21.60	39.06	+80.9%	under 1 min	one-sided

Musselburgh 15:15 7 runners

Runner	First seen	Last seen	Move	Last look	Spread
Vitality	31.50	18.18	-42.3%	under 1 min	one-sided
Positive Thoughts	12.98	9.20	-29.1%	under 1 min	4.3%
Balmoral Boy	15.15	11.48	-24.2%	under 1 min	8.7%
Only Dream Big	13.63	10.48	-23.2%	under 1 min	one-sided
Dalamara	14.14	14.93	+5.5%	under 1 min	one-sided
Trucial Pearl	6.89	7.72	+12.0%	under 1 min	one-sided
Horwich	28.69	35.91	+25.1%	under 1 min	one-sided

Lingfield 15:30 5 runners

Runner	First seen	Last seen	Move	Last look	Spread
Banana	8.18	6.05	-26.1%	under 1 min	one-sided
Apple's Angel	29.46	22.83	-22.5%	under 1 min	17.5%
Lochaber	87.72	71.68	-18.3%	under 1 min	21.0%
Jungle Dance	3.35	2.83	-15.5%	under 1 min	2.1%
Battle Point	9.92	11.49	+15.8%	under 1 min	one-sided

Musselburgh 15:45 10 runners

Runner	First seen	Last seen	Move	Last look	Spread
Gallus Norman	32.10	21.98	-31.5%	under 1 min	one-sided
Trojan Sun	16.72	13.42	-19.7%	under 1 min	one-sided
Cascade Hall	19.38	16.50	-14.9%	under 1 min	one-sided
Vaguely Royal	8.49	7.31	-13.9%	under 1 min	one-sided
Inappropriate	12.12	12.25	+1.0%	under 1 min	4.0%
Florida Dreams	3.72	3.82	+2.5%	under 1 min	one-sided
Is She Now	15.94	16.49	+3.5%	under 1 min	6.1%
Furhaan	9.49	10.25	+7.9%	under 1 min	4.9%
Newport	8.89	9.90	+11.4%	under 1 min	one-sided
Fast Fred	8.49	12.00	+41.4%	under 1 min	one-sided

Lingfield 16:00 8 runners, 1 outside the usual range

Runner	First seen	Last seen	Move	Last look	Spread
Bird Of War	5.55	3.67	-33.8%	under 1 min	1.4%
Quick Quasar	9.16	7.60	-17.1%	under 1 min	5.2%
Athena's War	88.89	86.96	-2.2%	15 min	17.5%
Musical Soldier	3.57	3.72	+4.2%	under 1 min	one-sided
Strong Voice	3.42	3.79	+10.6%	under 1 min	one-sided
Ragaire	81.63	96.15	+17.8%	45 min	42.1%
Coxy's Star	14.14	19.78	+39.9%	under 1 min	one-sided
Tie Fighter	18.08	27.51	+52.1%	under 1 min	3.6%

Musselburgh 16:15 9 runners, 1 outside the usual range

Runner	First seen	Last seen	Move	Last look	Spread
Coconut Bay	10.37	7.60	-26.7%	under 1 min	5.2%
Edmond Halley	4.15	3.49	-15.8%	under 1 min	one-sided
Novak	6.49	5.90	-9.1%	under 1 min	one-sided
Sir David	16.35	15.99	-2.2%	under 1 min	6.2%
Gressington	20.81	23.39	+12.4%	under 1 min	12.9%
Keep Me Stable	10.70	12.75	+19.2%	under 1 min	4.0%
Vince Le Prince	8.69	10.48	+20.5%	under 1 min	9.6%
Luminous Warrior	19.38	24.63	+27.1%	under 1 min	one-sided
Monhammer	6.79	11.48	+69.0%	under 1 min	one-sided

Bellewstown 16:20 8 runners

Runner	First seen	Last seen	Move	Last look	Spread
Tax Me Later	88.89	63.49	-28.6%	5 min	31.9%
Sweetie Too	98.52	81.97	-16.8%	35 min	85.4%
Star Of Beauty	5.45	5.11	-6.2%	5 min	one-sided
Caption This	90.09	90.50	+0.5%	35 min	93.2%
Camino Lad	5.94	6.02	+1.3%	5 min	one-sided
Willofthepeople	29.41	30.44	+3.5%	5 min	10.1%
Misneach Sile	76.34	90.91	+19.1%	1h 50m	495.0%
Mosel	5.34	6.84	+28.2%	5 min	one-sided

Lingfield 16:30 6 runners, 1 outside the usual range

Runner	First seen	Last seen	Move	Last look	Spread
Floating Market	24.24	13.98	-42.3%	under 1 min	7.1%
Going To Graceland	55.56	32.73	-41.1%	under 1 min	18.2%
Devil's Brigade	3.52	3.75	+6.4%	under 1 min	2.7%
State Express	81.97	95.24	+16.2%	2h 45m	83.3%
Sax Avoidance	61.35	92.59	+50.9%	1h 15m	48.9%
Anncanya	29.50	81.97	+177.9%	15 min	18.2%

Musselburgh 16:45 5 runners, 1 outside the usual range

Runner	First seen	Last seen	Move	Last look	Spread
Beerwah	5.45	4.85	-10.9%	under 1 min	2.0%
Jojo Rabbit	4.90	5.14	+4.9%	under 1 min	one-sided
Zuffolo	15.71	18.71	+19.1%	under 1 min	8.1%
Albegone	6.69	8.69	+30.0%	under 1 min	6.9%
Pouting	42.02	84.75	+101.7%	under 1 min	11.9%

Bellewstown 16:55 15 runners, 1 outside the usual range

Runner	First seen	Last seen	Move	Last look	Spread
Distillate	35.71	20.22	-43.4%	10 min	7.5%
Wegotogether	15.65	9.60	-38.7%	10 min	4.2%
Hale Bopp	35.71	22.94	-35.8%	10 min	8.7%
Suerte	28.13	22.94	-18.5%	10 min	8.7%
Lohengrin	28.09	24.94	-11.2%	10 min	8.0%
Draiocht	7.29	6.59	-9.5%	10 min	6.0%
Jazz Dreamers	27.43	24.94	-9.1%	10 min	8.0%
La Campanella	10.70	10.25	-4.2%	10 min	4.9%
Wellwhatshappenin	25.64	24.94	-2.7%	10 min	8.0%
Launch Time	4.10	4.10	+0.1%	10 min	one-sided
Heart Of Eternity	84.39	85.47	+1.3%	40 min	46.8%
Tullyesker	73.26	76.63	+4.6%	10 min	19.3%
Rampage	8.89	9.70	+9.1%	10 min	2.1%
Bang Po	65.57	71.68	+9.3%	10 min	21.0%
Pettus Bridge	44.94	61.54	+36.9%	10 min	24.4%

Lingfield 17:02 7 runners

Runner	First seen	Last seen	Move	Last look	Spread
Minerality	60.06	32.10	-46.5%	2 min	21.8%
Time To Sparkle	4.52	3.57	-21.0%	2 min	1.4%
Havana Tobouggaloo	9.92	8.60	-13.3%	2 min	4.6%
Sovereign Bright	8.38	7.39	-11.8%	2 min	5.4%
Jimmy Mark	4.75	4.79	+1.0%	2 min	one-sided
Backer Bilk	16.56	18.23	+10.1%	2 min	8.2%
Thunder Goddess	4.00	5.54	+38.5%	2 min	one-sided

Stratford 17:10 8 runners

Runner	First seen	Last seen	Move	Last look	Spread
Dreaming Of The Dr	10.03	8.69	-13.3%	10 min	6.9%
Diamond Grace	3.27	3.06	-6.5%	10 min	one-sided
Guts And Glory	5.10	5.25	+2.9%	10 min	5.7%
Steal A Glance	10.70	11.20	+4.8%	10 min	13.4%
Letmeseethecolts	3.67	3.90	+6.2%	10 min	one-sided
La Bamba Chica	87.72	97.56	+11.2%	1h 40m	93.6%
Pretty Spontaneous	82.99	93.46	+12.6%	55 min	75.9%
Princess Of Ballea	62.89	81.97	+30.3%	10 min	18.2%

Bellewstown 17:30 14 runners, 1 outside the usual range

Runner	First seen	Last seen	Move	Last look	Spread
Sunday Sovereign	85.47	41.67	-51.2%	under 1 min	19.3%
Chant D'or	54.20	32.73	-39.6%	15 min	18.2%
Albion Power	22.47	14.48	-35.6%	under 1 min	6.8%
Land Of The Giants	9.09	7.79	-14.3%	under 1 min	5.1%
Micasso	13.13	11.48	-12.6%	under 1 min	8.7%
Givehertilxmas	5.99	5.50	-8.3%	under 1 min	3.6%
Bright Dick	82.30	80.65	-2.0%	15 min	31.4%
Dinamine	17.47	17.26	-1.2%	under 1 min	2.9%
Medieval Night	7.75	7.99	+3.1%	under 1 min	5.0%
Master Garvey	12.63	13.71	+8.6%	under 1 min	10.9%
Perfect Judgement	8.04	10.14	+26.1%	under 1 min	6.9%
Oitentinha	41.84	53.33	+27.5%	under 1 min	22.1%
Duchess Anne	6.66	9.09	+36.5%	under 1 min	6.6%
Think About It	54.05	78.74	+45.7%	15 min	25.6%

Stratford 17:40 6 runners

Runner	First seen	Last seen	Move	Last look	Spread
Brionywells	10.25	8.90	-13.2%	10 min	2.2%
Bells Of Ufford	13.21	11.48	-13.1%	10 min	8.7%
Kotgar	19.78	18.71	-5.4%	10 min	8.1%
Captain Connor	39.06	41.67	+6.7%	10 min	19.3%
Delgany Second Now	4.79	6.24	+30.2%	10 min	one-sided
Mc'flo	23.64	31.30	+32.4%	10 min	16.1%

Bellewstown 18:02 15 runners

Runner	First seen	Last seen	Move	Last look	Spread
Anvika	31.35	20.94	-33.2%	17 min	9.4%
Slight Of Foot	27.29	19.96	-26.8%	17 min	10.0%
Bundle Of Interest	19.49	14.98	-23.1%	17 min	6.7%
Felix Somary	17.50	14.74	-15.8%	17 min	3.4%
Girl Bear	35.71	30.77	-13.8%	17 min	48.8%
Pillar Of Hope	21.25	19.49	-8.3%	17 min	5.1%
Elusive Path	6.54	6.39	-2.3%	17 min	6.3%
Goofy Gander	26.77	27.86	+4.0%	17 min	14.6%
Dream Legend	9.97	10.48	+5.1%	17 min	9.6%
Comfort Line	24.36	25.84	+6.1%	17 min	15.6%
Goal Exceeded	6.89	7.39	+7.4%	17 min	5.4%
Exquisite Acclaim	46.51	50.76	+9.1%	17 min	31.2%
Morehampton	13.21	14.48	+9.6%	17 min	6.8%
Zaraahmando	7.96	9.20	+15.6%	17 min	4.3%
Rappell	29.50	38.39	+30.1%	17 min	26.2%

Stratford 18:15 3 runners

Runner	First seen	Last seen	Move	Last look	Spread
Duke Of Luckley	8.20	6.70	-18.3%	under 1 min	2.9%
Seeyouinmydreams	6.14	6.10	-0.7%	under 1 min	3.3%
In This World	15.36	22.20	+44.5%	under 1 min	one-sided

Bellewstown 18:32 5 runners

Runner	First seen	Last seen	Move	Last look	Spread
Tango Club	5.15	4.40	-14.5%	47 min	4.6%
Annie Batt	4.29	3.87	-9.7%	47 min	3.9%
Bit Of A Buzz	4.24	4.29	+1.1%	47 min	9.3%
Lion Of Fortune	9.07	9.49	+4.7%	47 min	6.4%
Best Love	4.54	5.09	+12.0%	47 min	one-sided

Stratford 18:45 7 runners

Runner	First seen	Last seen	Move	Last look	Spread
T Or Coffey	21.10	15.21	-27.9%	under 1 min	9.9%
Borna Gem	33.61	25.41	-24.4%	under 1 min	12.0%
Miss Fedora	14.43	11.48	-20.4%	under 1 min	8.7%
Dream Jet	21.91	18.52	-15.5%	under 1 min	one-sided
Juggernaut	6.79	7.10	+4.5%	under 1 min	2.8%
Getmyfriend	5.25	5.55	+5.8%	under 1 min	one-sided
Zucayan	20.08	21.98	+9.5%	under 1 min	one-sided

Bellewstown 19:02 11 runners

Runner	First seen	Last seen	Move	Last look	Spread
Treasured Royal	39.06	24.24	-37.9%	1h 32m	20.8%
Smoke Them Out	15.65	14.20	-9.2%	1h 32m	10.5%
Bad Boy Rizz	7.99	7.29	-8.9%	1h 32m	8.2%
Harry's Hill	7.60	6.99	-7.9%	1h 17m	5.7%
Bye Bye Now	11.70	10.98	-6.2%	1h 32m	9.0%
Namiid	7.50	7.09	-5.5%	1h 32m	8.5%
Buddy Batt	17.15	17.38	+1.3%	2h 2m	17.3%
Happy Henry	10.70	11.20	+4.8%	1h 32m	13.4%
Asdana	18.80	20.08	+6.8%	1h 32m	17.4%
Prairie Girl	7.69	8.89	+15.6%	1h 32m	6.8%
Cuban Grey	9.47	11.48	+21.2%	1h 32m	8.7%

Stratford 19:15 7 runners

Runner	First seen	Last seen	Move	Last look	Spread
Bobbarelli	8.39	6.19	-26.2%	under 1 min	6.5%
Kings Order	9.29	9.29	0.0%	under 1 min	6.4%
Watchoutitscookie	10.37	11.48	+10.7%	under 1 min	8.7%
Pescatorius	14.94	17.48	+17.0%	under 1 min	5.6%
Jack Doyen	7.19	8.55	+18.9%	under 1 min	one-sided
Fox Wallace	58.48	71.68	+22.6%	under 1 min	21.0%
Crackerjack Queen	15.94	20.22	+26.9%	under 1 min	7.5%

Bellewstown 19:32 8 runners

Runner	First seen	Last seen	Move	Last look	Spread
Fraher Field	73.53	58.31	-20.7%	1h 47m	34.2%
Ocean Fire	52.49	44.94	-14.4%	1h 47m	37.7%
Cosmetic	5.75	5.37	-6.6%	1h 47m	one-sided
Zadawa	3.87	3.70	-4.5%	1h 47m	2.7%
Pampar Lady	45.66	44.94	-1.6%	1h 47m	37.7%
Kigalienne	16.86	16.93	+0.4%	1h 47m	11.7%
Mawhibah	3.47	3.61	+3.9%	1h 47m	one-sided
Shemiyka	5.88	6.39	+8.7%	1h 47m	6.3%

Stratford 19:45 7 runners, 1 outside the usual range

Runner	First seen	Last seen	Move	Last look	Spread
Stand Proud	14.20	5.30	-62.7%	under 1 min	3.8%
On The Fly	99.01	70.18	-29.1%	under 1 min	35.4%
Guerdale	93.90	78.74	-16.1%	under 1 min	25.6%
Talladale	6.37	6.19	-2.8%	under 1 min	6.5%
Bombus Pascuorum	9.30	9.69	+4.2%	under 1 min	6.2%
Goliath Power	3.85	4.15	+7.9%	under 1 min	2.4%
Company Charge	16.56	18.23	+10.1%	15 min	8.2%

Bellewstown 20:02 11 runners

Runner	First seen	Last seen	Move	Last look	Spread
Boxing Great	5.94	5.20	-12.5%	2h 17m	3.8%
Jerandme	66.67	58.31	-12.5%	2h 17m	34.2%
Cooley's Mist	7.19	6.30	-12.4%	2h 17m	3.2%
Kimy	58.65	53.91	-8.1%	2h 17m	35.0%
Baltic Bird	22.27	21.10	-5.3%	2h 17m	16.6%
Day Trader	5.40	5.25	-2.9%	2h 17m	5.7%
Sequoiaspirit	17.44	17.71	+1.6%	2h 17m	8.3%
Friary Road	9.69	10.25	+5.7%	2h 17m	4.9%
Liberated Light	15.71	16.72	+6.4%	2h 17m	9.0%
Miss Gitana	14.20	17.67	+24.4%	2h 17m	14.2%
Catalani	7.09	9.28	+30.9%	2h 17m	10.8%

“One-sided” means the book had no back or no lay at our last look, so there was no spread to quote. It is the state of the book, not missing data.

What “usual” meant that day

The reference each move was judged against: every move we had measured over the 5 days before this one, by the price the runner opened at. The median is near zero in every band. What changes with the price is how far a move normally goes.

Opening price	Moves measured	5th pct	25th	Median	75th	95th pct
3 to 5	187	-21.2%	-7.9%	+0.8%	+11.6%	+44.7%
5 to 8	276	-31.7%	-9.8%	+0.4%	+14.4%	+53.4%
8 to 13	281	-33.8%	-14.0%	+0.5%	+17.1%	+54.8%
13 to 20	274	-38.9%	-17.4%	-2.7%	+19.3%	+59.7%
20 to 35	282	-43.4%	-18.7%	+3.5%	+26.2%	+83.1%
35 to 100	314	-52.1%	-25.6%	-6.5%	+15.1%	+67.8%

A runner is counted as outside the usual range when its move sits at or below the 5th percentile, or at or above the 95th, for its band. A runner whose opening price falls in a band with fewer than 100 measured moves is left out of the record rather than judged against too little.