mazetick

Order book. Smarkets. Edition of 2026-10-04.

39 of the 259 runners on Sun 4 Oct moved further than usual for their price

We sample the Smarkets order book every fifteen minutes until the off. This is the finished record for the races run on Sun 4 Oct: 259 runners in 29 races, each with the first and the last price we saw before it ran. 39 of them moved further than usual for their price.

Corrected. Reissued on 6 October 2026. A faulty country filter had let runners at meetings outside the UK and Ireland, mostly German and Saudi, into this archive. Any that ran on this day have been removed, and every percentile has been recomputed against a baseline without them.

“Usual” is judged against the 45 days we had collected before this one, and nothing later. A move is compared with what had been measured by the evening before, so the count above does not change as the archive grows.

259
runners tracked to the off
29
races
39
outside the usual range
45d
of earlier collection it was judged against

Outside the usual range

RaceRunnerFirst seenLast seenMoveLast lookHow unusual for this price
Curragh 13:20Bayside Girl22.2789.29+300.9%20 mina larger drift than any measured at this price by then
Curragh 13:20Pirate Anne Bonny2.691.58-41.4%20 mina larger shortening than any measured at this price by then
Killarney 13:35Run For Power6.783.02-55.4%5 mina larger shortening than any measured at this price by then
Uttoxeter 14:01Rose Warrior90.9116.16-82.2%1 mina larger shortening than any measured at this price by then
Kelso 14:20Evaluation13.984.70-66.4%5 mina larger shortening than any measured at this price by then
Killarney 14:45Celtic Alliance8.3824.39+191.0%under 1 mina larger drift than any measured at this price by then
Kelso 13:45Fine Thing2.884.75+65.0%under 1 minbigger than 99% of moves measured at this price by then
Uttoxeter 14:01Venezuelan13.135.85-55.5%1 minbigger than 99% of moves measured at this price by then
Kelso 14:20Dalileo50.1312.98-74.1%5 minbigger than 99% of moves measured at this price by then
Curragh 14:30King Cuan4.648.39+81.0%under 1 minbigger than 99% of moves measured at this price by then
Kelso 14:55Luna Grace7.583.82-49.6%10 minbigger than 99% of moves measured at this price by then
Uttoxeter 15:45Uncle Remus6.693.47-48.0%under 1 minbigger than 99% of moves measured at this price by then
Killarney 16:30Time Is A Thief2.491.65-33.7%under 1 minbigger than 99% of moves measured at this price by then
Curragh 16:50Prophet's Path35.0376.63+118.8%5 minbigger than 99% of moves measured at this price by then
Curragh 13:55Heralds March13.7231.30+128.2%10 minbigger than 98% of moves measured at this price by then
Curragh 13:55Muscogee Nation28.3778.74+177.6%10 minbigger than 98% of moves measured at this price by then
Uttoxeter 14:01Analogical2.894.55+57.5%1 minbigger than 98% of moves measured at this price by then
Kelso 14:20Interchangeable45.7716.25-64.5%5 minbigger than 98% of moves measured at this price by then
Kelso 14:20Starlyte8.964.85-45.9%5 minbigger than 98% of moves measured at this price by then
Curragh 14:30Loughrea2.912.03-30.2%under 1 minbigger than 98% of moves measured at this price by then
Curragh 14:30Unauthorized92.5932.10-65.3%under 1 minbigger than 98% of moves measured at this price by then
Kelso 15:30Aeros Luck6.293.67-41.5%under 1 minbigger than 98% of moves measured at this price by then
Uttoxeter 15:45Promethean10.1419.96+96.9%under 1 minbigger than 98% of moves measured at this price by then
Kelso 16:05Upfordebate2.671.84-30.8%5 minbigger than 98% of moves measured at this price by then
Uttoxeter 16:20Bertie B49.3899.01+100.5%5 minbigger than 98% of moves measured at this price by then
Killarney 16:30Stede Bonnet1.822.82+54.6%under 1 minbigger than 98% of moves measured at this price by then
Uttoxeter 13:26Gentle Ocean2.491.81-27.1%11 minbigger than 97% of moves measured at this price by then
Kelso 15:30Breaking Cover4.843.30-31.9%under 1 minbigger than 97% of moves measured at this price by then
Uttoxeter 13:26Letmeseethecolts14.598.69-40.4%26 minbigger than 96% of moves measured at this price by then
Killarney 14:10Bryson16.7231.30+87.2%10 minbigger than 96% of moves measured at this price by then
Uttoxeter 14:36Sytadel2.603.75+44.2%6 minbigger than 96% of moves measured at this price by then
Killarney 15:20Good World16.4732.73+98.7%5 minbigger than 96% of moves measured at this price by then
Curragh 13:20Little Darling5.924.05-31.6%5 minbigger than 95% of moves measured at this price by then
Uttoxeter 14:36Tazman Dan77.5234.78-55.1%6 minbigger than 95% of moves measured at this price by then
Killarney 15:20Inchidaly Copper19.4912.25-37.2%5 minbigger than 95% of moves measured at this price by then
Curragh 15:40Space Bear16.4510.25-37.7%10 minbigger than 95% of moves measured at this price by then
Killarney 15:55Party President7.5911.48+51.2%10 minbigger than 95% of moves measured at this price by then
Curragh 16:50Sinbad My Dad8.005.25-34.4%5 minbigger than 95% of moves measured at this price by then
Killarney 17:05Urbs Intacta Manet35.2716.25-53.9%5 minbigger than 95% of moves measured at this price by then

Prices are the mid of the best back and lay on Smarkets, in decimal odds. A negative move is a price shortening. “Last look” is how long before the off we last saw a two-sided book for that runner. Race times are BST.

Every runner that day

Grouped by race, and within a race from the largest shortening to the largest drift, so that money leaving one runner for another shows at the two ends of the same block.

Uttoxeter 12:51 2 runners

RunnerFirst seenLast seenMoveLast lookSpread
The Gray Ghost6.985.85-16.2%6 min5.1%
O'Moore Park8.8910.48+17.9%6 min9.6%

Curragh 13:20 8 runners, 3 outside the usual range

RunnerFirst seenLast seenMoveLast lookSpread
Pirate Anne Bonny2.691.58-41.4%20 min0.6%
Little Darling5.924.05-31.6%5 min2.5%
Golden Gift99.0188.89-10.2%20 min22.5%
Darlene85.1192.59+8.8%3h 20m104.1%
Sweetly3.854.75+23.3%1h 50m6.3%
Belle Vision48.5470.67+45.6%3h 35m99.7%
Petticoat Bay11.9218.23+53.0%5 min8.2%
Bayside Girl22.2789.29+300.9%20 min38.9%

Uttoxeter 13:26 6 runners, 2 outside the usual range

RunnerFirst seenLast seenMoveLast lookSpread
Letmeseethecolts14.598.69-40.4%26 min6.9%
Gentle Ocean2.491.81-27.1%11 min12.1%
Captain Connor64.3158.31-9.3%26 min34.2%
Time In A Bottle8.447.99-5.3%26 min5.0%
A Chara4.894.70-3.9%26 min4.3%
In The Trenches4.905.56+13.5%2h 56m32.4%

Killarney 13:35 8 runners, 1 outside the usual range

RunnerFirst seenLast seenMoveLast lookSpread
Run For Power6.783.02-55.4%5 min1.6%
Cerulean Summer61.1647.96-21.6%20 min41.5%
Unquite Dreams5.424.40-18.9%1h 20m4.6%
Astelia3.252.70-16.8%5 min1.5%
Katie Can't Count12.0011.74-2.2%5 min4.3%
Jimjohn Kittkath73.2677.52+5.8%20 min64.5%
Mastertown Miss4.675.40+15.7%5 min3.7%
Velvet Ash36.7053.33+45.3%5 min22.1%

Kelso 13:45 3 runners, 1 outside the usual range

RunnerFirst seenLast seenMoveLast lookSpread
Jentobello1.621.51-6.8%45 min1.3%
Mr Ramoon25.2532.73+29.6%under 1 min18.2%
Fine Thing2.884.75+65.0%under 1 min2.1%

Curragh 13:55 10 runners, 2 outside the usual range

RunnerFirst seenLast seenMoveLast lookSpread
The Windhover43.4828.45-34.6%10 min10.6%
Cracks And Sparks32.2630.17-6.5%3h 40m33.1%
Hmas Perth1.621.56-4.0%2h 10m1.3%
Scrap The Lot87.3493.90+7.5%2h 55m111.4%
Invincible Mind16.6318.23+9.7%10 min8.2%
Nonsense50.5170.18+38.9%25 min35.4%
Paraguay13.8421.39+54.5%10 min14.0%
Wo Wo Never13.9323.39+68.0%10 min12.9%
Heralds March13.7231.30+128.2%10 min16.1%
Muscogee Nation28.3778.74+177.6%10 min25.6%

Uttoxeter 14:01 7 runners, 3 outside the usual range

RunnerFirst seenLast seenMoveLast lookSpread
Rose Warrior90.9116.16-82.2%1 min15.6%
Venezuelan13.135.85-55.5%1 min1.7%
Dontcontradictme66.6756.50-15.3%1 min26.4%
Troy Story93.0295.69+2.9%1 min26.3%
Governors Rock1.881.96+4.0%1 min4.1%
Mighty Dink83.3399.50+19.4%16 min35.9%
Analogical2.894.55+57.5%1 min2.2%

Killarney 14:10 18 runners, 1 outside the usual range

RunnerFirst seenLast seenMoveLast lookSpread
Kingdom Calling9.716.79-30.0%10 min5.8%
Colin's Friend3.893.02-22.2%10 min1.6%
Romella53.4851.81-3.1%4h 25m19249.9%
Granlahan8.378.50+1.5%10 min2.3%
Good Bye Milan43.8649.75+13.4%3h 10m390.4%
Mount Hotham47.1756.50+19.8%10 min26.4%
The Border Boy16.6320.94+26.0%10 min9.4%
Inches Away27.9735.91+28.4%10 min11.2%
Regards To Rose25.3834.78+37.0%10 min17.2%
Sidiriya14.2119.96+40.4%10 min10.0%
Bossing It30.5843.01+40.6%10 min4.7%
Footstepstoglory6.389.20+44.1%10 min4.3%
Mr Macphisto63.9095.69+49.8%10 min26.3%
St Anthonys Corner63.9096.15+50.5%25 min42.1%
Alentejo31.9553.33+66.9%10 min22.1%
Big Dee25.1942.83+70.0%10 min14.2%
Penny Express30.4056.18+84.8%3h 10m76.1%
Bryson16.7231.30+87.2%10 min16.1%

Kelso 14:20 9 runners, 4 outside the usual range

RunnerFirst seenLast seenMoveLast lookSpread
Dalileo50.1312.98-74.1%5 min7.7%
Evaluation13.984.70-66.4%5 min4.3%
Interchangeable45.7716.25-64.5%5 min3.1%
Starlyte8.964.85-45.9%5 min2.0%
Heart Above6.374.65-27.1%5 min2.1%
Do No Wrong13.7210.75-21.7%5 min4.6%
Kool Raoul6.465.50-14.9%35 min3.6%
Klitschko7.357.39+0.6%5 min5.4%
Bold Light3.674.25+15.9%35 min2.3%

Curragh 14:30 10 runners, 3 outside the usual range

RunnerFirst seenLast seenMoveLast lookSpread
Unauthorized92.5932.10-65.3%under 1 min21.8%
Loughrea2.912.03-30.2%under 1 min3.0%
Dmaniac62.7053.33-14.9%15 min22.1%
Carolina Jetstream14.1413.24-6.4%under 1 min3.7%
Princess Child14.4315.71+8.9%under 1 min9.6%
Wannabe Royal36.3640.82+12.2%under 1 min14.8%
Sindagan13.2115.75+19.2%under 1 min3.2%
Big Gossey6.379.10+42.8%under 1 min2.2%
Lewis Carroll30.7253.33+73.6%under 1 min22.1%
King Cuan4.648.39+81.0%under 1 min4.8%

Uttoxeter 14:36 6 runners, 2 outside the usual range

RunnerFirst seenLast seenMoveLast lookSpread
Tazman Dan77.5234.78-55.1%6 min17.2%
Current Edition4.603.75-18.5%6 min2.7%
Larzac2.852.47-13.3%6 min0.8%
Pedro's Moon47.6256.50+18.6%6 min26.4%
Midnight Lexi73.2688.89+21.3%1h 51m22.5%
Sytadel2.603.75+44.2%6 min2.7%

Killarney 14:45 7 runners, 1 outside the usual range

RunnerFirst seenLast seenMoveLast lookSpread
Cocofred6.234.85-22.2%under 1 min2.0%
Lips Freedom3.202.77-13.4%under 1 min0.7%
Firebrand5.244.65-11.2%under 1 min2.1%
Rosenborg14.6417.21+17.6%under 1 min8.6%
Belladaball8.2010.25+24.9%under 1 min4.9%
No Mon No Fun21.6038.76+79.5%under 1 min15.6%
Celtic Alliance8.3824.39+191.0%under 1 min12.2%

Kelso 14:55 4 runners, 1 outside the usual range

RunnerFirst seenLast seenMoveLast lookSpread
Luna Grace7.583.82-49.6%10 min3.9%
Brosna Town8.676.50-25.0%10 min3.1%
Tuppence1.501.70+13.3%10 min1.8%
Miss Arabella21.9126.25+19.8%55 min19.1%

Curragh 15:05 10 runners

RunnerFirst seenLast seenMoveLast lookSpread
Lady Lilac14.249.29-34.8%5 min6.4%
Noble Honour10.679.20-13.8%5 min4.3%
Cristal Clere25.6722.40-12.8%5 min13.3%
Galileo Noir13.6512.48-8.6%5 min8.0%
Eastwatch9.018.50-5.7%5 min2.3%
Iamimmaculate6.726.50-3.3%5 min3.1%
Johnny Soda5.004.90-2.1%5 min4.1%
Final Voyage32.4134.78+7.3%5 min17.2%
Majestic King7.348.80+19.8%5 min4.6%
Benevento15.0922.94+52.0%5 min8.7%

Uttoxeter 15:15 6 runners

RunnerFirst seenLast seenMoveLast lookSpread
Roger Pol5.744.20-26.9%under 1 min4.7%
Jubilant5.093.88-23.9%under 1 min1.3%
Ernest Gray7.266.19-14.7%30 min6.5%
Divilabother4.994.80-3.9%under 1 min4.2%
Miss Goldfire5.054.90-2.9%under 1 min4.1%
Pike Road9.4610.70+13.1%under 1 min14.0%

Killarney 15:20 13 runners, 2 outside the usual range

RunnerFirst seenLast seenMoveLast lookSpread
Inchidaly Copper19.4912.25-37.2%5 min4.0%
Blackwater Soldier13.018.39-35.5%5 min4.8%
It's Not His Fault29.9820.66-31.1%5 min12.0%
Coolboy Christy14.1411.74-17.0%5 min4.3%
Ballyminnion Boy12.4111.48-7.5%5 min8.7%
Tedworth6.596.30-4.5%5 min3.2%
Mane Attraction56.5056.500.0%5 min26.4%
James The Brave3.394.15+22.3%5 min2.4%
Lakewood Rose24.8431.30+26.0%5 min16.1%
King's Son16.2520.94+28.9%5 min9.4%
Political Stance27.4036.76+34.2%5 min16.3%
Prophetess Miriam23.3436.76+57.5%5 min16.3%
Good World16.4732.73+98.7%5 min18.2%

Kelso 15:30 6 runners, 2 outside the usual range

RunnerFirst seenLast seenMoveLast lookSpread
Aeros Luck6.293.67-41.5%under 1 min1.4%
Breaking Cover4.843.30-31.9%under 1 min3.0%
Traprain Law6.895.99-13.0%1h 15m6.7%
Primoz9.098.30-8.7%under 1 min2.5%
Tommy's Oscar7.878.89+12.9%under 1 min6.8%
Ice Jet3.875.15+33.0%under 1 min2.0%

Curragh 15:40 12 runners, 1 outside the usual range

RunnerFirst seenLast seenMoveLast lookSpread
Space Bear16.4510.25-37.7%10 min4.9%
Carla Ridge5.794.85-16.3%10 min2.0%
Focaccia96.6293.46-3.3%2h 25m75.9%
Likedbymike19.5519.96+2.1%10 min10.0%
Staysound Susie64.9466.67+2.7%10 min23.0%
Royal Bay Cen7.878.30+5.4%10 min2.5%
Pivotal Attack8.188.70+6.3%10 min2.3%
Dancing Saxon4.685.15+10.0%10 min2.0%
Fregada18.1722.94+26.3%10 min8.7%
Spinning Around9.3412.25+31.2%10 min4.0%
Institute47.9666.67+39.0%10 min23.0%
Greydreambeliever19.5129.90+53.2%10 min13.5%

Uttoxeter 15:45 11 runners, 2 outside the usual range

RunnerFirst seenLast seenMoveLast lookSpread
Uncle Remus6.693.47-48.0%under 1 min1.5%
Chico Magnifica6.495.40-16.8%under 1 min3.7%
Northern Rose18.8020.39+8.5%under 1 min14.6%
Zucayan46.3053.33+15.2%under 1 min22.1%
Lucky Sevens13.9316.49+18.4%under 1 min6.1%
Bowling Shane10.3712.48+20.4%under 1 min8.0%
Berry Edge4.796.05+26.2%under 1 min5.0%
Raging Al28.0938.76+38.0%under 1 min15.6%
Prettylady18.4826.42+42.9%under 1 min11.4%
Arcon15.8623.47+48.0%under 1 min4.2%
Promethean10.1419.96+96.9%under 1 min10.0%

Killarney 15:55 10 runners, 1 outside the usual range

RunnerFirst seenLast seenMoveLast lookSpread
Claude7.476.10-18.3%10 min3.3%
Cahirdown Boy58.8249.38-16.0%10 min36.2%
Kilbrin Rocco4.924.30-12.7%10 min4.6%
Stoneyford Lady6.295.80-7.7%10 min3.4%
Bythesametoken21.1621.39+1.1%10 min14.0%
Chosen Shant11.2011.98+6.9%10 min8.4%
Presenting Lad10.5412.48+18.4%10 min8.0%
Ballybrittas9.9012.20+23.2%10 min12.4%
Beauforts Storm21.4426.42+23.2%10 min11.4%
Party President7.5911.48+51.2%10 min8.7%

Kelso 16:05 4 runners, 1 outside the usual range

RunnerFirst seenLast seenMoveLast lookSpread
Upfordebate2.671.84-30.8%5 min1.6%
Inis Oirr5.945.15-13.3%5 min2.0%
Golden Point6.096.46+6.1%2h 20m15.5%
Sir Carnegie3.523.77+7.2%5 min1.3%

Curragh 16:15 22 runners

RunnerFirst seenLast seenMoveLast lookSpread
Michael's Well69.6933.90-51.4%under 1 min11.6%
Nakamura64.9431.90-50.9%under 1 min12.5%
Go Athletico50.8925.41-50.1%under 1 min12.0%
Green Kite63.9034.78-45.6%under 1 min17.2%
Nouvel Espoir14.149.49-32.9%under 1 min6.4%
Apothic Red13.2010.25-22.4%under 1 min4.9%
Apache Outlaw11.049.39-14.9%under 1 min4.2%
Contrary To Law22.9920.94-8.9%under 1 min9.4%
Therewillbeglory34.6033.90-2.0%under 1 min11.6%
Smoke Them Out16.9517.21+1.5%under 1 min8.6%
Irish Rumour21.7622.94+5.4%under 1 min8.7%
Cool Azul8.679.39+8.4%under 1 min4.2%
I Bid You Ajou34.9740.82+16.7%under 1 min14.8%
Sommelier17.0820.49+20.0%under 1 min4.9%
Real Force43.4854.50+25.3%under 1 min18.1%
Gerrit's Gem15.6019.74+26.6%under 1 min2.6%
Tolebi27.4338.76+41.3%under 1 min15.6%
Go Out55.5681.97+47.5%under 1 min18.2%
Tawaazon63.9095.69+49.8%under 1 min26.3%
Noble Nation25.7738.76+50.4%under 1 min15.6%
Jon Riggens19.2128.99+50.9%under 1 min7.0%
Venetian Star22.6534.78+53.6%under 1 min17.2%

Uttoxeter 16:20 9 runners, 1 outside the usual range

RunnerFirst seenLast seenMoveLast lookSpread
Ask A Sainte5.454.00-26.6%5 min5.0%
Inedit D'amour61.3546.84-23.7%5 min12.7%
Dexter11.7010.14-13.3%5 min6.9%
Prospect House18.0817.71-2.0%5 min8.3%
Holy Legend6.596.90+4.6%5 min2.9%
Ghasham5.506.30+14.6%5 min3.2%
Tropical Talent6.598.10+22.8%5 min2.4%
Playful Fox5.797.39+27.7%5 min5.4%
Bertie B49.3899.01+100.5%5 min20.0%

Killarney 16:30 4 runners, 2 outside the usual range

RunnerFirst seenLast seenMoveLast lookSpread
Time Is A Thief2.491.65-33.7%under 1 min1.2%
Woodstream Lad28.6932.73+14.1%under 1 min18.2%
Mister Loolah63.4989.69+41.3%under 1 min11.7%
Stede Bonnet1.822.82+54.6%under 1 min1.4%

Kelso 16:40 8 runners

RunnerFirst seenLast seenMoveLast lookSpread
Lone Star7.696.59-14.2%10 min6.0%
Malangen9.098.20-9.8%10 min4.9%
Theirshegoes13.8413.49-2.6%10 min7.4%
Helsgetaway5.695.85+2.7%10 min5.1%
Luminaries5.495.80+5.6%10 min3.4%
Valtteri Its James5.405.70+5.6%10 min3.5%
Boston Queen84.0393.90+11.7%25 min111.4%
My My My Delilah7.097.99+12.8%10 min5.0%

Curragh 16:50 11 runners, 2 outside the usual range

RunnerFirst seenLast seenMoveLast lookSpread
Sinbad My Dad8.005.25-34.4%5 min1.9%
Satono Chevalier25.3818.23-28.2%5 min8.2%
Mapa72.7353.33-26.7%5 min22.1%
Whimsy7.316.10-16.6%5 min3.3%
Alfalfa6.205.35-13.7%5 min1.9%
The Mediator19.9621.39+7.2%5 min14.0%
A Wave Of The Sea14.9118.71+25.4%5 min8.1%
Beyond Your Dreams11.4915.24+32.7%5 min3.4%
Rest Your Mind3.735.05+35.2%5 min2.0%
High Honour53.3376.63+43.7%5 min19.3%
Prophet's Path35.0376.63+118.8%5 min19.3%

Uttoxeter 16:56 7 runners

RunnerFirst seenLast seenMoveLast lookSpread
Bravethewaves19.4917.44-10.5%11 min11.4%
Better Off Alone4.003.60-10.0%11 min2.8%
Fane Court4.654.45-4.2%11 min2.3%
Izzy's Grey12.4813.21+5.8%11 min11.4%
Jo Arengeot Bey Aa3.173.42+7.9%11 min1.4%
Another Mystery20.2423.39+15.6%11 min12.9%
A Dublin Job24.6331.30+27.1%11 min16.1%

Killarney 17:05 15 runners, 1 outside the usual range

RunnerFirst seenLast seenMoveLast lookSpread
Urbs Intacta Manet35.2716.25-53.9%5 min3.1%
It's Time Again85.4753.33-37.6%5 min22.1%
Kilashee16.4512.25-25.5%5 min4.0%
Cullenwaine11.929.18-23.0%5 min8.6%
King Ferdinand85.4768.49-19.9%5 min29.4%
Keep Em Quite10.149.39-7.3%5 min4.2%
Ellens Pride32.9531.30-5.0%5 min16.1%
Zolpharine9.8110.25+4.5%5 min4.9%
Joe's Turn11.1111.74+5.7%5 min4.3%
Backinabit12.4113.24+6.7%5 min3.7%
Kilkee Bay8.899.60+8.0%5 min4.2%
Avec Espoir89.2999.01+10.9%50 min50.4%
True Harmony6.377.70+20.8%5 min2.6%
Nolans Rocco12.5117.99+43.8%5 min5.4%
Barryroe Madam21.1032.73+55.2%5 min18.2%

Curragh 17:25 13 runners

RunnerFirst seenLast seenMoveLast lookSpread
Rhythm King19.5314.98-23.3%10 min6.7%
Spacebound7.496.10-18.6%10 min3.3%
Highbury See See4.243.47-18.0%10 min4.3%
Local Lad90.9181.63-10.2%40 min55.1%
Blue Blue Moon11.5311.24-2.5%10 min4.4%
Montevetro99.0199.010.0%1h 55m100.6%
Pretty Omagh Girl23.6424.39+3.2%10 min12.2%
Titanium36.2338.99+7.6%10 min5.1%
Lady Arwen22.2228.45+28.0%10 min10.6%
Loingseoir12.8216.49+28.6%10 min6.1%
Lady Mary Heath9.6012.48+30.1%10 min8.0%
Flanker Jet24.6334.78+41.2%10 min17.2%
Cherry Hill Girl7.5410.98+45.5%10 min9.0%

“One-sided” means the book had no back or no lay at our last look, so there was no spread to quote. It is the state of the book, not missing data.

What “usual” meant that day

The reference each move was judged against: every move we had measured over the 45 days before this one, by the price the runner opened at. The median is near zero in every band. What changes with the price is how far a move normally goes.

Opening priceMoves measured5th pct25thMedian75th95th pct
1.5 to 3638-22.6%-9.1%-0.4%+9.5%+38.4%
3 to 51,628-27.5%-10.3%+1.2%+14.3%+44.3%
5 to 82,551-31.5%-12.9%0.0%+14.1%+50.8%
8 to 133,038-34.6%-13.4%+2.2%+21.2%+67.9%
13 to 202,341-37.5%-14.6%+4.4%+27.2%+83.3%
20 to 352,365-43.2%-15.8%+6.2%+33.7%+101.3%
35 to 1002,618-55.5%-26.9%-3.8%+21.7%+73.4%

A runner is counted as outside the usual range when its move sits at or below the 5th percentile, or at or above the 95th, for its band. A runner whose opening price falls in a band with fewer than 100 measured moves is left out of the record rather than judged against too little.