Order book. Smarkets. Edition of 2026-10-18.

21 of the 200 runners on Sun 18 Oct moved further than usual for their price

We sample the Smarkets order book every fifteen minutes until the off. This is the finished record for the races run on Sun 18 Oct: 200 runners in 21 races, each with the first and the last price we saw before it ran. 21 of them moved further than usual for their price.

“Usual” is judged against the 59 days we had collected before this one, and nothing later. A move is compared with what had been measured by the evening before, so the count above does not change as the archive grows.

200

runners tracked to the off

races

outside the usual range

59d

of earlier collection it was judged against

Outside the usual range

Race	Runner	First seen	Last seen	Move	Last look	How unusual for this price
Limerick 14:30	A Boy The Kid	17.15	3.75	-78.2%	under 1 min	a larger shortening than any measured at this price by then
Leopardstown 14:42	Dublin's Knight	9.47	4.10	-56.8%	12 min	a larger shortening than any measured at this price by then
Limerick 15:00	Beckistine	13.04	6.30	-51.7%	under 1 min	bigger than 99% of moves measured at this price by then
Limerick 15:00	Pakens Rock	42.11	91.74	+117.9%	under 1 min	bigger than 99% of moves measured at this price by then
Limerick 15:00	St Lawrence's Well	19.53	8.50	-56.5%	under 1 min	bigger than 99% of moves measured at this price by then
Limerick 15:30	Therellbguddaysyet	41.84	12.48	-70.2%	under 1 min	bigger than 99% of moves measured at this price by then
Leopardstown 16:12	Walhaan	44.64	95.24	+113.3%	27 min	bigger than 99% of moves measured at this price by then
Limerick 17:00	Amen Kate	6.57	12.71	+93.3%	under 1 min	bigger than 99% of moves measured at this price by then
Limerick 14:30	Global Submission	3.10	2.04	-34.2%	under 1 min	bigger than 98% of moves measured at this price by then
Sedgefield 15:20	Fever Dream	7.98	13.75	+72.2%	5 min	bigger than 98% of moves measured at this price by then
Leopardstown 16:42	Game Point	32.10	14.48	-54.9%	12 min	bigger than 98% of moves measured at this price by then
Limerick 17:00	Echoing Silence	2.23	1.55	-30.5%	under 1 min	bigger than 98% of moves measured at this price by then
Leopardstown 14:42	King Cuan	2.63	3.95	+50.2%	12 min	bigger than 97% of moves measured at this price by then
Limerick 17:00	Future Prospect	2.77	4.10	+48.0%	under 1 min	bigger than 97% of moves measured at this price by then
Limerick 15:00	Crowsatedappletart	12.16	21.39	+75.9%	under 1 min	bigger than 96% of moves measured at this price by then
Limerick 15:00	Hello Jack	54.79	21.95	-59.9%	under 1 min	bigger than 96% of moves measured at this price by then
Leopardstown 16:12	Nermal	12.32	7.60	-38.4%	12 min	bigger than 96% of moves measured at this price by then
Limerick 14:30	Dreams Delight	12.63	21.48	+70.1%	under 1 min	bigger than 95% of moves measured at this price by then
Limerick 15:00	Coolboy Christy	54.64	24.39	-55.4%	under 1 min	bigger than 95% of moves measured at this price by then
Sedgefield 15:50	Miss Friday Lions	11.92	7.79	-34.6%	5 min	bigger than 95% of moves measured at this price by then
Limerick 16:00	Littlefoot	33.61	19.21	-42.8%	under 1 min	bigger than 95% of moves measured at this price by then

Prices are the mid of the best back and lay on Smarkets, in decimal odds. A negative move is a price shortening. “Last look” is how long before the off we last saw a two-sided book for that runner. Race times are BST.

Every runner that day

Grouped by race, and within a race from the largest shortening to the largest drift, so that money leaving one runner for another shows at the two ends of the same block.

Sedgefield 13:50 3 runners

Runner	First seen	Last seen	Move	Last look	Spread
Edelak	1.97	1.77	-10.1%	5 min	1.7%
Tommy Pickles	2.09	2.35	+12.4%	5 min	2.5%
Rock Armour	62.89	74.63	+18.7%	5 min	13.5%

Limerick 14:00 6 runners

Runner	First seen	Last seen	Move	Last look	Spread
Kimi De Mai	3.40	2.70	-20.7%	under 1 min	4.5%
Jury Time	16.67	14.86	-10.8%	4h 30m	64.0%
Brickfield Belle	1.85	1.69	-9.1%	under 1 min	0.6%
Lucky Valley	75.76	74.91	-1.1%	1h 45m	53.6%
French Adventure	84.39	88.50	+4.9%	2h	123.9%
Aboras Mahler	20.08	25.84	+28.7%	under 1 min	15.6%

Leopardstown 14:12 11 runners

Runner	First seen	Last seen	Move	Last look	Spread
Vico Road	49.26	34.78	-29.4%	12 min	17.2%
King Of Sparta	6.26	5.40	-13.8%	12 min	3.7%
Cool Steel	95.69	84.39	-11.8%	27 min	65.8%
Sunatia	2.29	2.16	-5.6%	12 min	1.9%
Checkered	88.11	99.01	+12.4%	1h 12m	100.6%
Will You Stop	9.47	11.20	+18.3%	12 min	13.4%
Shamrock Flame	26.08	31.30	+20.0%	12 min	16.1%
Man Of Property	64.94	78.74	+21.3%	27 min	44.5%
Rhapsodic	5.43	6.79	+25.2%	12 min	5.8%
Shorten The Winter	55.10	71.68	+30.1%	12 min	21.0%
Winter Adventure	30.67	52.08	+69.8%	12 min	26.5%

Sedgefield 14:20 8 runners

Runner	First seen	Last seen	Move	Last look	Spread
Path Of Stars	11.70	7.99	-31.7%	5 min	5.0%
Out On Her Own	7.29	5.70	-21.8%	5 min	3.5%
Royal Time	12.41	10.75	-13.4%	5 min	4.6%
Illogical Logic	6.89	6.50	-5.6%	5 min	3.1%
Tom Creen	9.09	8.80	-3.3%	2h 20m	4.6%
Kinbara Firstdraft	20.39	20.66	+1.3%	5 min	12.0%
Stay Hopeful	2.63	2.67	+1.5%	5 min	0.7%
Fortunate Fella	54.35	56.50	+4.0%	5 min	26.4%

Limerick 14:30 8 runners, 3 outside the usual range

Runner	First seen	Last seen	Move	Last look	Spread
A Boy The Kid	17.15	3.75	-78.2%	under 1 min	17.4%
Northern Silence	51.55	30.86	-40.1%	under 1 min	29.0%
Global Submission	3.10	2.04	-34.2%	under 1 min	7.9%
Thinkitdontjinxit	3.42	3.05	-11.0%	15 min	3.3%
No Loose Ends	63.90	60.06	-6.0%	5h	53.2%
Approval	4.75	6.16	+29.8%	under 1 min	24.3%
Gold Star Status	59.17	79.68	+34.7%	under 1 min	12499.8%
Dreams Delight	12.63	21.48	+70.1%	under 1 min	4.5%

Leopardstown 14:42 7 runners, 2 outside the usual range

Runner	First seen	Last seen	Move	Last look	Spread
Dublin's Knight	9.47	4.10	-56.8%	12 min	4.9%
Faiyum	2.91	2.74	-5.8%	12 min	1.5%
Key Witness	47.96	53.33	+11.2%	12 min	22.1%
Lewis Carroll	21.21	25.41	+19.8%	12 min	12.0%
Zodiac Bear	15.36	20.66	+34.5%	12 min	12.0%
Iron Fist	20.39	27.86	+36.6%	12 min	14.6%
King Cuan	2.63	3.95	+50.2%	12 min	2.5%

Sedgefield 14:50 7 runners

Runner	First seen	Last seen	Move	Last look	Spread
Hay Max	13.63	9.29	-31.9%	5 min	6.4%
Karate Kid	5.49	4.80	-12.7%	5 min	4.2%
Can't Resist It	4.24	4.25	+0.1%	5 min	2.3%
Pink 'n Purple	26.08	27.40	+5.1%	5 min	11.0%
Codger's Rock	3.80	4.15	+9.3%	5 min	2.4%
Lady Boujee	5.39	6.70	+24.2%	5 min	2.9%
Moscow Star	32.89	41.67	+26.7%	5 min	19.3%

Limerick 15:00 17 runners, 6 outside the usual range

Runner	First seen	Last seen	Move	Last look	Spread
Hello Jack	54.79	21.95	-59.9%	under 1 min	9.0%
St Lawrence's Well	19.53	8.50	-56.5%	under 1 min	2.3%
Coolboy Christy	54.64	24.39	-55.4%	under 1 min	12.2%
Beckistine	13.04	6.30	-51.7%	under 1 min	3.2%
Jaadil	14.91	10.75	-27.9%	under 1 min	4.6%
Way Down South	10.06	7.30	-27.4%	under 1 min	2.8%
Tell Me See	11.10	8.80	-20.8%	under 1 min	4.6%
Minority Interest	49.51	41.07	-17.0%	5h 30m	85.0%
Humble Brag	6.10	6.05	-0.8%	under 1 min	5.0%
At The Wings	14.86	15.09	+1.6%	4h	33.0%
Cool Native	13.51	13.93	+3.1%	45 min	14.3%
Fenian Maxios	74.07	88.50	+19.5%	15 min	57.1%
Boston Rajj	25.54	31.30	+22.5%	under 1 min	16.1%
Lep Around	80.00	99.01	+23.8%	2h 15m	449.5%
Ann Bulkley	22.57	31.30	+38.7%	under 1 min	16.1%
Crowsatedappletart	12.16	21.39	+75.9%	under 1 min	14.0%
Pakens Rock	42.11	91.74	+117.9%	under 1 min	16.6%

Leopardstown 15:12 16 runners

Runner	First seen	Last seen	Move	Last look	Spread
Unauthorized	68.73	34.78	-49.4%	12 min	17.2%
Playin Cool	7.47	6.49	-13.1%	12 min	9.2%
Morehampton	10.58	9.49	-10.3%	12 min	6.4%
Vega's Muse	58.48	53.33	-8.8%	12 min	22.1%
Highbury See See	12.63	11.98	-5.2%	12 min	8.4%
Oro Blanco	9.78	9.60	-1.9%	12 min	4.2%
Uncle Goalie	8.44	8.39	-0.6%	12 min	4.8%
Pink Oxalis	14.14	14.48	+2.4%	12 min	6.8%
Booyea	18.48	19.74	+6.8%	12 min	2.6%
Terre De Vega	88.50	96.15	+8.7%	12 min	42.1%
Son Of Beauty	32.00	35.59	+11.2%	12 min	22.3%
Majestic King	8.69	10.25	+17.9%	12 min	4.9%
Eddie G	33.33	40.82	+22.4%	12 min	14.8%
Johnny Soda	12.41	15.75	+26.9%	12 min	3.2%
Dragon Of Malta	20.66	31.30	+51.5%	12 min	16.1%
Flanker Jet	55.25	92.59	+67.6%	12 min	32.3%

Sedgefield 15:20 7 runners, 1 outside the usual range

Runner	First seen	Last seen	Move	Last look	Spread
Dexperts Opinion	2.82	2.36	-16.3%	5 min	1.7%
Red Delta	8.78	7.60	-13.5%	5 min	5.2%
Passengerontheship	8.69	8.20	-5.7%	5 min	4.9%
Tommie Beau	14.64	14.20	-3.0%	5 min	10.5%
Ivane	9.39	10.48	+11.5%	5 min	9.6%
Ki Woo	8.49	11.48	+35.2%	5 min	8.7%
Fever Dream	7.98	13.75	+72.2%	5 min	3.7%

Limerick 15:30 9 runners, 1 outside the usual range

Runner	First seen	Last seen	Move	Last look	Spread
Therellbguddaysyet	41.84	12.48	-70.2%	under 1 min	8.0%
Sallap	12.32	8.39	-31.9%	under 1 min	4.8%
Run For The Border	11.67	8.69	-25.5%	5h	6.9%
Haveanothertry	4.83	3.82	-20.7%	under 1 min	1.3%
Duce Bigalow	3.29	2.84	-13.8%	under 1 min	1.4%
Strange Currency	17.27	18.71	+8.3%	under 1 min	8.1%
Lucy Wang	11.49	12.48	+8.7%	under 1 min	8.0%
Fenway Park	29.98	34.78	+16.0%	under 1 min	17.2%
Giorgia Rose	27.06	36.76	+35.8%	under 1 min	16.3%

Leopardstown 15:42 8 runners

Runner	First seen	Last seen	Move	Last look	Spread
Moments Of Joy	43.48	33.56	-22.8%	3h 12m	23.8%
Hazdann	11.20	9.00	-19.7%	12 min	4.4%
Come What May	1.88	1.78	-5.3%	12 min	1.1%
Nuit	86.58	92.59	+6.9%	27 min	32.3%
Diego El Queso	7.69	8.50	+10.5%	12 min	2.3%
Cowardofthecounty	13.21	15.21	+15.1%	12 min	9.9%
Snellen	10.48	12.48	+19.2%	12 min	8.0%
Mr Vettori	18.17	22.40	+23.3%	12 min	13.3%

Sedgefield 15:50 9 runners, 1 outside the usual range

Runner	First seen	Last seen	Move	Last look	Spread
Miss Friday Lions	11.92	7.79	-34.6%	5 min	5.1%
Clean Getaway	5.79	4.90	-15.4%	5 min	4.1%
Curious Mrs Fox	8.67	7.50	-13.5%	5 min	2.6%
Zamond	4.65	4.40	-5.3%	5 min	4.6%
Asa	28.69	27.40	-4.5%	5 min	11.0%
De Deli Counter	16.95	16.22	-4.3%	5 min	9.3%
Cadillac Ranch	5.15	5.25	+2.0%	5 min	1.9%
Top Flight Century	10.22	10.48	+2.5%	4h 35m	9.6%
Natural Ability	33.61	56.50	+68.1%	5 min	26.4%

Limerick 16:00 12 runners, 1 outside the usual range

Runner	First seen	Last seen	Move	Last look	Spread
Littlefoot	33.61	19.21	-42.8%	under 1 min	7.9%
Hermino AA	31.50	20.39	-35.3%	under 1 min	14.6%
Prophet's Corner	47.96	32.10	-33.1%	5h	21.8%
A Wave Of The Sea	8.53	5.85	-31.4%	under 1 min	1.7%
Anyway	8.16	6.50	-20.3%	under 1 min	3.1%
Weveallbeencaught	8.40	6.90	-17.9%	under 1 min	2.9%
French Dynamite	16.45	13.98	-15.0%	under 1 min	7.1%
Positive Thinker	64.31	56.50	-12.1%	under 1 min	26.4%
Iceberg Theory	8.27	8.39	+1.5%	under 1 min	4.8%
Look To The West	15.56	17.21	+10.6%	under 1 min	8.6%
Meet And Greet	8.38	9.79	+16.8%	under 1 min	4.1%
Kings Hill	11.62	15.21	+30.9%	under 1 min	9.9%

Leopardstown 16:12 17 runners, 2 outside the usual range

Runner	First seen	Last seen	Move	Last look	Spread
Berto Ramirez	52.49	31.30	-40.4%	12 min	16.1%
Nermal	12.32	7.60	-38.4%	12 min	5.2%
Thyer	7.90	5.70	-27.9%	12 min	3.5%
Darius Dark	17.68	12.98	-26.6%	12 min	7.7%
Rest Your Mind	6.16	4.65	-24.5%	12 min	2.1%
Nibras Rainbow	30.58	26.42	-13.6%	12 min	11.4%
Faro Island	59.88	53.33	-10.9%	12 min	22.1%
Autumn Twist	38.61	34.97	-9.4%	12 min	5.6%
Great Mover	13.04	11.98	-8.1%	12 min	8.4%
Dark Viper	12.68	11.92	-6.0%	12 min	16.8%
Lamar Valley	31.10	29.90	-3.9%	5h 12m	170.3%
Sinbad My Dad	24.72	25.41	+2.8%	12 min	12.0%
Dark Summit	21.16	23.28	+10.0%	5h 12m	47.3%
Java Wood	55.56	61.54	+10.8%	12 min	24.4%
Molto Amichi	41.75	48.90	+17.1%	12 min	22.3%
Galileo Noir	26.70	34.78	+30.3%	12 min	17.2%
Walhaan	44.64	95.24	+113.3%	27 min	57.4%

Sedgefield 16:20 9 runners

Runner	First seen	Last seen	Move	Last look	Spread
Double Digits	4.75	4.05	-14.7%	5 min	2.5%
Klitschko	7.87	7.10	-9.8%	5 min	2.8%
Rewired	37.11	34.78	-6.3%	5 min	17.2%
Max Of Stars	22.40	22.40	0.0%	5 min	13.3%
Saligo Bay	15.21	15.71	+3.3%	5 min	9.6%
Gambino	3.77	4.05	+7.3%	5 min	2.5%
Bathgate	22.40	24.39	+8.9%	5 min	12.2%
Williethebuilder	8.78	9.60	+9.3%	5 min	4.2%
Brosna Town	9.29	10.75	+15.7%	5 min	4.6%

Limerick 16:30 8 runners

Runner	First seen	Last seen	Move	Last look	Spread
Hashtag Pretender	6.32	5.05	-20.1%	under 1 min	2.0%
He's Gorgeous	10.79	9.20	-14.8%	under 1 min	4.3%
Miners Bridge	4.75	4.35	-8.3%	under 1 min	2.3%
Gaelic Des Chastys	6.46	7.30	+13.0%	under 1 min	2.8%
Pride Of Place	46.51	53.33	+14.7%	under 1 min	22.1%
El Champo	13.90	16.49	+18.6%	under 1 min	6.1%
Zurich	3.69	4.45	+20.4%	under 1 min	2.3%
Slanagaibhgoleir	29.98	36.76	+22.6%	under 1 min	16.3%

Leopardstown 16:42 15 runners, 1 outside the usual range

Runner	First seen	Last seen	Move	Last look	Spread
Game Point	32.10	14.48	-54.9%	12 min	6.8%
Teoest	24.01	19.96	-16.9%	12 min	10.0%
Night Moon	12.63	10.98	-13.1%	12 min	9.0%
Sky Captain	4.89	4.60	-6.0%	12 min	4.3%
Truth Be Told	8.64	8.39	-2.9%	12 min	4.8%
Sir Jeremy	11.81	11.74	-0.6%	12 min	4.3%
Thatwilldoso	19.55	19.49	-0.3%	12 min	5.1%
Handani	8.09	8.60	+6.3%	12 min	4.6%
Pillar Of Hope	32.26	34.78	+7.8%	12 min	17.2%
Latin America	10.91	12.48	+14.4%	12 min	8.0%
Youcansaythatagain	31.90	36.76	+15.3%	12 min	16.3%
Speckled Meadow	56.18	69.69	+24.0%	2h 42m	57.8%
Too Bossy For Us	21.25	31.30	+47.3%	12 min	16.1%
Leopold The First	56.98	84.03	+47.5%	12 min	23.9%
Arch Enemy	32.10	53.33	+66.1%	12 min	22.1%

Sedgefield 16:50 5 runners

Runner	First seen	Last seen	Move	Last look	Spread
Mysterland	7.10	5.25	-26.1%	5 min	5.7%
Going On	2.67	2.49	-6.8%	5 min	2.4%
Parkside Lily	3.47	3.65	+5.1%	5 min	2.7%
Samantha's Lady	35.91	44.84	+24.9%	5 min	13.5%
Bateleur	6.19	8.80	+42.0%	5 min	4.6%

Limerick 17:00 4 runners, 3 outside the usual range

Runner	First seen	Last seen	Move	Last look	Spread
Echoing Silence	2.23	1.55	-30.5%	under 1 min	1.3%
Straight Home	20.55	30.12	+46.5%	under 1 min	23.2%
Future Prospect	2.77	4.10	+48.0%	under 1 min	4.9%
Amen Kate	6.57	12.71	+93.3%	under 1 min	11.7%

Leopardstown 17:12 14 runners

Runner	First seen	Last seen	Move	Last look	Spread
Bay Of Dreams	23.98	18.71	-22.0%	12 min	8.1%
Zaraahmando	7.26	5.75	-20.8%	12 min	1.7%
Bear Right	9.97	7.99	-19.8%	12 min	5.0%
Queen Aethelflaed	20.88	18.23	-12.7%	12 min	8.2%
Green Kite	13.72	12.98	-5.4%	12 min	7.7%
Greek Flower	11.18	10.75	-3.9%	12 min	4.6%
Altimara	9.34	9.20	-1.5%	12 min	4.3%
Purely	12.51	13.49	+7.8%	12 min	7.4%
Bundle Of Interest	13.84	14.98	+8.2%	12 min	6.7%
Rosato	14.04	15.21	+8.4%	12 min	9.9%
Gegenpressing	64.10	81.63	+27.3%	27 min	55.1%
Tachos	16.72	21.39	+27.9%	12 min	14.0%
Faoladh	16.99	25.41	+49.6%	12 min	12.0%
Bella Colombia	28.05	48.90	+74.3%	12 min	22.3%

“One-sided” means the book had no back or no lay at our last look, so there was no spread to quote. It is the state of the book, not missing data.

What “usual” meant that day

The reference each move was judged against: every move we had measured over the 59 days before this one, by the price the runner opened at. The median is near zero in every band. What changes with the price is how far a move normally goes.

Opening price	Moves measured	5th pct	25th	Median	75th	95th pct
1.5 to 3	884	-23.4%	-9.6%	-0.9%	+9.6%	+38.2%
3 to 5	2,157	-27.8%	-10.6%	+1.0%	+14.4%	+46.0%
5 to 8	3,388	-31.3%	-13.0%	0.0%	+14.3%	+51.3%
8 to 13	4,025	-34.6%	-13.9%	+2.4%	+22.3%	+70.4%
13 to 20	3,112	-37.5%	-14.7%	+4.1%	+27.9%	+85.3%
20 to 35	3,104	-43.0%	-15.1%	+6.6%	+34.4%	+105.4%
35 to 100	3,424	-55.8%	-27.3%	-4.1%	+22.1%	+72.4%

A runner is counted as outside the usual range when its move sits at or below the 5th percentile, or at or above the 95th, for its band. A runner whose opening price falls in a band with fewer than 100 measured moves is left out of the record rather than judged against too little.