29 of the 311 runners on Thu 27 Aug moved further than usual for their price
We sample the Smarkets order book every fifteen minutes until the off. This is the finished record for the races run on Thu 27 Aug: 311 runners in 41 races, each with the first and the last price we saw before it ran. 29 of them moved further than usual for their price.
Corrected. Reissued on 6 October 2026. A faulty country filter had let runners at meetings outside the UK and Ireland, mostly German and Saudi, into this archive. Any that ran on this day have been removed, and every percentile has been recomputed against a baseline without them.
“Usual” is judged against the 7 days we had collected before this one, and nothing later. A move is compared with what had been measured by the evening before, so the count above does not change as the archive grows.
311
runners tracked to the off
41
races
29
outside the usual range
7d
of earlier collection it was judged against
Outside the usual range
Race
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
How unusual for this price
Navan 16:15
Kingcharles
14.74
41.93
+184.5%
under 1 min
a larger drift than any measured at this price by then
Navan 14:14
Alfred Tennyson
20.81
9.58
-54.0%
14 min
bigger than 99% of moves measured at this price by then
Navan 14:14
Mary Shoelaces
43.48
16.56
-61.9%
14 min
bigger than 99% of moves measured at this price by then
Lingfield 14:22
Whiskey Galore
6.09
11.24
+84.7%
7 min
bigger than 99% of moves measured at this price by then
Navan 14:44
Jungle Tina
32.89
91.74
+178.9%
14 min
bigger than 99% of moves measured at this price by then
Lingfield 14:52
Please Don't Go
3.97
2.50
-37.1%
7 min
bigger than 99% of moves measured at this price by then
Navan 14:14
Amiata
13.01
6.20
-52.3%
14 min
bigger than 98% of moves measured at this price by then
Navan 14:14
Back Down Under
11.62
5.85
-49.7%
14 min
bigger than 98% of moves measured at this price by then
Navan 14:14
Gotta Catch'em All
10.22
5.44
-46.8%
14 min
bigger than 98% of moves measured at this price by then
Navan 14:14
Sovereign Cry
10.58
6.10
-42.4%
14 min
bigger than 98% of moves measured at this price by then
Ffos Las 15:37
Sundiata Keita
7.98
13.71
+71.8%
7 min
bigger than 98% of moves measured at this price by then
Newton Abbot 17:42
Buxted Reel
3.07
2.19
-28.8%
12 min
bigger than 98% of moves measured at this price by then
Southwell 18:00
Pink Socks
50.51
99.01
+96.0%
15 min
bigger than 98% of moves measured at this price by then
Newton Abbot 18:42
Touchwoodexpress
5.99
3.47
-42.0%
12 min
bigger than 98% of moves measured at this price by then
Navan 14:14
Cool Azul
3.94
2.89
-26.8%
3h 59m
bigger than 97% of moves measured at this price by then
Navan 14:14
Smoke Them Out
35.59
15.75
-55.7%
14 min
bigger than 97% of moves measured at this price by then
Newton Abbot 18:12
Centara
10.34
6.49
-37.3%
12 min
bigger than 97% of moves measured at this price by then
Ffos Las 14:37
Tango Hotel
5.48
8.39
+53.0%
7 min
bigger than 96% of moves measured at this price by then
Navan 15:44
Lohengrin
46.51
22.40
-51.8%
14 min
bigger than 96% of moves measured at this price by then
Lingfield 15:52
Desert Treasure
4.54
3.47
-23.5%
7 min
bigger than 96% of moves measured at this price by then
Navan 16:15
Mythical Rock
13.01
7.26
-44.2%
under 1 min
bigger than 96% of moves measured at this price by then
Newton Abbot 17:42
Ask Peter
4.65
3.60
-22.5%
12 min
bigger than 96% of moves measured at this price by then
Newton Abbot 17:42
Pivotal Days
85.47
41.67
-51.2%
12 min
bigger than 96% of moves measured at this price by then
Ffos Las 14:37
Downonmainstreet
12.41
8.30
-33.2%
7 min
bigger than 95% of moves measured at this price by then
Ffos Las 15:37
Ridger
3.67
2.89
-21.3%
7 min
bigger than 95% of moves measured at this price by then
Carlisle 16:00
Cotai Starlight
14.20
8.50
-40.2%
under 1 min
bigger than 95% of moves measured at this price by then
Navan 16:15
Sheamus Seimhiu
67.80
34.78
-48.7%
under 1 min
bigger than 95% of moves measured at this price by then
Newton Abbot 16:42
Nightflyer
3.57
5.00
+39.9%
12 min
bigger than 95% of moves measured at this price by then
Southwell 18:00
Turbo Command
19.78
31.90
+61.2%
under 1 min
bigger than 95% of moves measured at this price by then
Prices are the mid of the best back and lay on Smarkets, in decimal odds. A negative move is a price shortening. “Last look” is how long before the off we last saw a two-sided book for that runner. Race times are BST.
Every runner that day
Grouped by race, and within a race from the largest shortening to the largest drift, so that money leaving one runner for another shows at the two ends of the same block.
Navan 13:44 8 runners
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Little Diva
41.75
30.72
-26.4%
14 min
19.5%
Supreme Lord
3.35
2.94
-12.2%
14 min
1.4%
Prince Of Peppard
6.54
5.99
-8.4%
14 min
6.7%
Two Brigade
12.93
12.20
-5.6%
14 min
12.4%
Lucy's Promise
18.08
17.26
-4.6%
14 min
one-sided
No Time Faults
81.97
95.69
+16.7%
1h 29m
26.3%
Howlin Wolf
4.94
5.79
+17.3%
14 min
6.9%
Someday Somewhere
5.01
6.89
+37.5%
14 min
8.7%
Carlisle 14:00 9 runners
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Up The Jazz
6.23
4.95
-20.6%
under 1 min
6.0%
Sanafi Zabeel
3.97
3.22
-18.8%
under 1 min
4.7%
Epidavros
6.57
5.35
-18.7%
under 1 min
5.6%
Titian
12.41
10.37
-16.5%
under 1 min
11.5%
Jewel Maker
10.02
9.39
-6.2%
under 1 min
4.2%
Spirit Catcher
7.49
7.69
+2.7%
4h 30m
7.8%
Eagles Dream
26.08
29.90
+14.6%
under 1 min
one-sided
Pedro The Poet
16.76
20.66
+23.2%
under 1 min
12.0%
On The Bubble
33.61
56.50
+68.1%
under 1 min
26.4%
Navan 14:14 12 runners, 8 outside the usual range
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Mary Shoelaces
43.48
16.56
-61.9%
14 min
21.1%
Smoke Them Out
35.59
15.75
-55.7%
14 min
3.2%
Alfred Tennyson
20.81
9.58
-54.0%
14 min
one-sided
Amiata
13.01
6.20
-52.3%
14 min
17.7%
Back Down Under
11.62
5.85
-49.7%
14 min
one-sided
Gotta Catch'em All
10.22
5.44
-46.8%
14 min
9.2%
Sovereign Cry
10.58
6.10
-42.4%
14 min
3.3%
By The Lake
32.10
19.88
-38.1%
14 min
27.5%
Sporting Hero
54.20
33.56
-38.1%
14 min
23.8%
Cool Azul
3.94
2.89
-26.8%
3h 59m
7.6%
All The Girls
11.70
9.34
-20.2%
4h 14m
22.5%
Jon Riggens
9.81
9.78
-0.3%
4h 44m
22.5%
Lingfield 14:22 11 runners, 1 outside the usual range
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Magical Life
5.85
4.15
-29.0%
7 min
2.4%
Hailstones In May
42.02
31.30
-25.5%
7 min
16.1%
Goblet
34.97
31.30
-10.5%
7 min
16.1%
No More Pino
4.54
4.30
-5.4%
7 min
4.6%
Ten Of Clubs
8.87
8.60
-3.1%
7 min
4.6%
Prince Kameo
7.98
8.39
+5.2%
7 min
4.8%
Allaboutthelunch
82.64
88.89
+7.6%
7 min
22.5%
Hamdani Mokhater
19.49
22.40
+14.9%
7 min
13.3%
Bollengo Boy
14.55
17.71
+21.8%
7 min
8.3%
Kiss Cam
24.36
34.78
+42.8%
7 min
17.2%
Whiskey Galore
6.09
11.24
+84.7%
7 min
4.4%
Carlisle 14:30 9 runners
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Prosperity Angel
6.49
5.49
-15.3%
under 1 min
one-sided
Five Years
11.20
10.37
-7.5%
under 1 min
11.5%
Sarasota Blue Blue
4.15
4.05
-2.4%
under 1 min
2.5%
Or Another
58.65
59.52
+1.5%
under 1 min
16.8%
Benbecula
6.98
7.29
+4.4%
under 1 min
8.2%
Blazing Inferno
6.98
7.38
+5.7%
under 1 min
one-sided
Mehmas Star
7.75
8.29
+6.9%
under 1 min
7.2%
Raslan
14.14
17.44
+23.3%
under 1 min
11.4%
Striking Force
55.56
81.97
+47.5%
under 1 min
18.2%
Ffos Las 14:37 7 runners, 2 outside the usual range
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Downonmainstreet
12.41
8.30
-33.2%
7 min
2.5%
Seed Ya Later
8.93
6.70
-25.0%
7 min
2.9%
Rhodes Runner
5.30
5.05
-4.7%
7 min
2.0%
Minzaal Time
34.31
34.78
+1.4%
7 min
17.2%
Laylaty
3.27
3.42
+4.6%
7 min
4.4%
Wild Terrain
8.07
10.75
+33.2%
7 min
4.6%
Tango Hotel
5.48
8.39
+53.0%
7 min
4.8%
Navan 14:44 6 runners, 1 outside the usual range
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Rollin'onariver
48.19
33.00
-31.5%
14 min
5.9%
Better Yet
4.74
4.05
-14.5%
14 min
2.5%
Abletai
8.81
7.96
-9.7%
4h 44m
15.0%
Southern Boulevard
4.02
4.15
+3.3%
14 min
2.4%
Always Magic
14.24
18.45
+29.5%
14 min
10.7%
Jungle Tina
32.89
91.74
+178.9%
14 min
16.6%
Lingfield 14:52 3 runners, 1 outside the usual range
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Please Don't Go
3.97
2.50
-37.1%
7 min
one-sided
Thuritha
9.25
8.20
-11.4%
7 min
4.9%
Scrappetalene
3.92
4.68
+19.3%
7 min
one-sided
Carlisle 15:00 5 runners
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Bincimbal
4.07
3.79
-6.9%
under 1 min
one-sided
Kanzi
3.95
3.70
-6.3%
under 1 min
2.7%
Aurora Valkyrie
22.65
23.39
+3.3%
under 1 min
12.9%
Ten Clarets
3.25
3.62
+11.6%
under 1 min
4.1%
Emerald Bay
6.57
7.90
+20.1%
under 1 min
2.5%
Ffos Las 15:07 5 runners
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Corbie Rock
8.50
8.90
+4.7%
7 min
2.2%
Duchess Of Immatin
5.54
6.03
+8.9%
7 min
one-sided
War Gaming
5.15
5.75
+11.6%
7 min
one-sided
Native Chief
19.55
24.48
+25.2%
7 min
one-sided
Channel Islands
40.00
53.33
+33.3%
7 min
22.1%
Navan 15:14 4 runners
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Jezzie Bea
11.42
7.89
-30.9%
14 min
7.6%
This That
5.55
4.89
-11.8%
14 min
8.2%
Equus Victor
14.85
16.22
+9.2%
5h 14m
9.3%
Ferronniere
90.91
99.50
+9.5%
1h 14m
35.9%
Lingfield 15:22 2 runners
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Black Chiffon
3.07
3.85
+25.3%
7 min
2.6%
Colonnade
6.57
8.69
+32.2%
7 min
6.9%
Carlisle 15:30 7 runners
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Town Queen
4.40
3.54
-19.6%
under 1 min
one-sided
Zarvali
28.13
24.48
-13.0%
under 1 min
one-sided
Rogue Attraction
3.57
3.72
+4.1%
under 1 min
one-sided
Go Vince Go
4.95
5.19
+5.0%
under 1 min
one-sided
Rikki Tiki Tavi
13.93
17.26
+23.9%
under 1 min
2.9%
Kody B
17.87
23.39
+30.9%
under 1 min
12.9%
Invincible Boy
7.49
10.25
+36.8%
under 1 min
4.9%
Ffos Las 15:37 7 runners, 2 outside the usual range
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Ridger
3.67
2.89
-21.3%
7 min
2.1%
Mayflower Rock
11.62
9.29
-20.1%
7 min
6.4%
Coast
20.08
18.23
-9.2%
5h 22m
8.2%
Macarone
4.95
4.55
-8.1%
7 min
2.2%
Outer Edge
6.10
6.10
0.0%
7 min
3.3%
Diamondsinthesand
7.90
10.48
+32.6%
7 min
9.6%
Sundiata Keita
7.98
13.71
+71.8%
7 min
10.9%
Navan 15:44 12 runners, 1 outside the usual range
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Lohengrin
46.51
22.40
-51.8%
14 min
13.3%
Nephin Mountain
22.99
17.71
-22.9%
14 min
8.3%
In A Hurry
66.89
54.50
-18.5%
14 min
18.1%
Bill Silvers
27.43
25.84
-5.8%
14 min
15.6%
Alto Sax
8.76
8.30
-5.2%
14 min
one-sided
Minaun View
8.09
7.79
-3.7%
14 min
5.1%
Cordouan
66.89
65.15
-2.6%
14 min
38.5%
Tofino
7.29
7.19
-1.3%
14 min
5.6%
Kc Bear
14.41
14.48
+0.5%
14 min
6.8%
Bundle Of Interest
7.98
8.09
+1.4%
14 min
7.5%
Good Man Jack
8.84
9.29
+5.1%
14 min
6.4%
Go Out
5.47
6.69
+22.2%
14 min
8.9%
Lingfield 15:52 6 runners, 1 outside the usual range
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Desert Treasure
4.54
3.47
-23.5%
7 min
1.5%
General Assembly
4.25
3.95
-7.1%
7 min
2.5%
Mick's Spirit
8.24
8.49
+3.0%
7 min
7.1%
Style King
3.99
4.75
+19.0%
7 min
2.1%
Isle Of Lismore
9.90
12.71
+28.3%
7 min
11.7%
Lazzar
11.31
16.22
+43.5%
7 min
9.3%
Carlisle 16:00 12 runners, 1 outside the usual range
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Cotai Starlight
14.20
8.50
-40.2%
under 1 min
2.3%
Without Flaw
18.67
14.72
-21.2%
under 1 min
10.2%
Never Dark
10.48
8.50
-18.9%
under 1 min
2.3%
Crafty Spirit
10.14
9.20
-9.3%
under 1 min
4.3%
Supremissy
9.69
9.00
-7.2%
under 1 min
4.4%
Bibendum
15.15
14.20
-6.3%
under 1 min
10.5%
Royal Duke
17.84
17.71
-0.7%
under 1 min
8.3%
Keep The Gold
10.91
10.98
+0.6%
under 1 min
9.0%
Harry Mole
4.84
5.40
+11.6%
under 1 min
3.7%
Impressor
13.84
16.65
+20.3%
3h 45m
14.9%
Kyber Crystal
12.12
14.72
+21.4%
under 1 min
10.2%
Hvar
49.26
71.68
+45.5%
under 1 min
21.0%
Ffos Las 16:07 8 runners
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Make A Splash
72.73
43.67
-40.0%
7 min
18.5%
Lusaka
4.70
3.80
-19.1%
7 min
2.7%
Sneaky Blinder
29.98
24.84
-17.1%
7 min
16.3%
Good Onya Mate
19.18
16.22
-15.4%
7 min
9.3%
Simiyann
11.62
10.25
-11.8%
7 min
4.9%
Last Flight
3.60
3.29
-8.6%
7 min
one-sided
Merrijig
5.15
4.99
-3.0%
7 min
one-sided
Golden Flame
7.89
7.79
-1.2%
4h 37m
5.1%
Navan 16:15 13 runners, 3 outside the usual range
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Sheamus Seimhiu
67.80
34.78
-48.7%
under 1 min
17.2%
Mythical Rock
13.01
7.26
-44.2%
under 1 min
one-sided
Avec Grand Plaisir
6.40
4.55
-28.9%
under 1 min
2.2%
Comfort Line
7.67
5.85
-23.8%
under 1 min
one-sided
Trumph
12.68
12.25
-3.4%
under 1 min
4.0%
The Holy Apostle
22.96
22.40
-2.5%
under 1 min
13.3%
Borora Aura
12.18
12.25
+0.6%
under 1 min
4.0%
Sherekiya
6.17
6.37
+3.3%
2h 45m
12.5%
Think About It
79.68
84.03
+5.5%
1h 45m
147.1%
Hale Bopp
11.40
12.75
+11.8%
under 1 min
4.0%
Ella's Gold
13.33
14.98
+12.4%
under 1 min
6.7%
Cosmic Funk
14.93
20.66
+38.4%
under 1 min
12.0%
Kingcharles
14.74
41.93
+184.5%
under 1 min
9.7%
Lingfield 16:22 12 runners
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Taskheer
9.46
7.06
-25.3%
7 min
one-sided
Maryland Star
39.14
31.30
-20.0%
7 min
16.1%
Versatile
20.55
17.26
-16.0%
7 min
2.9%
Kev
18.17
15.99
-12.0%
7 min
6.2%
Sharma D'amour
11.42
10.48
-8.2%
7 min
9.6%
Iftikhaar
37.11
34.78
-6.3%
7 min
17.2%
Pride Eye
5.28
5.80
+9.8%
7 min
3.4%
Lady Aiyana
9.58
10.98
+14.6%
7 min
9.0%
Kaaress
32.95
37.88
+15.0%
7 min
10.6%
Sunset In Paris
70.92
84.75
+19.5%
7 min
11.9%
Ernie Mccrew
7.58
9.20
+21.3%
7 min
4.3%
Freedom Bay
5.05
6.30
+24.9%
7 min
3.2%
Carlisle 16:30 7 runners
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Speechman
33.61
25.41
-24.4%
under 1 min
12.0%
Taylormade Lad
3.52
3.18
-9.7%
under 1 min
one-sided
Hill O Rue
12.41
12.20
-1.7%
under 1 min
12.4%
Hansteen
3.17
3.45
+8.7%
under 1 min
2.9%
Off Spin
8.38
9.49
+13.2%
under 1 min
6.4%
Dr Rio
6.49
7.39
+14.0%
under 1 min
5.4%
Star Of Markinch
70.67
95.69
+35.4%
under 1 min
26.3%
Ffos Las 16:37 4 runners
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Pacific Storm
95.24
62.31
-34.6%
7 min
8.1%
Saaffya
19.21
21.51
+11.9%
4h 52m
20.9%
Phantom Recon
13.01
15.75
+21.0%
7 min
3.2%
Neswick
12.12
15.21
+25.5%
7 min
9.9%
Newton Abbot 16:42 4 runners, 1 outside the usual range
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Maria Mes
28.82
31.30
+8.6%
12 min
16.1%
Morissette
30.12
34.31
+13.9%
1h 42m
38.0%
Wait At The Gate
11.48
15.71
+36.8%
12 min
9.6%
Nightflyer
3.57
5.00
+39.9%
12 min
4.0%
Navan 16:49 15 runners
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Parish Team
68.49
40.98
-40.2%
4 min
4.9%
Chapel Island
26.25
17.21
-34.4%
4 min
8.6%
Mare Crisium
71.68
52.36
-27.0%
4 min
9.4%
Sunrush
12.82
9.60
-25.1%
4 min
4.2%
Chloe's Boy
93.46
73.53
-21.3%
4 min
26.9%
Cameclose
30.12
26.42
-12.3%
4 min
11.4%
Love Orchid
9.28
9.49
+2.3%
4 min
6.4%
Essential Comedy
52.08
53.33
+2.4%
4 min
22.1%
Chicago Moon
6.57
6.79
+3.3%
4 min
5.8%
Strike De Vega
70.18
73.53
+4.8%
19 min
48.1%
Blissful Bonita
6.57
6.99
+6.4%
4 min
5.7%
Werifesteria
78.74
86.96
+10.4%
4 min
17.5%
Millhone
4.54
5.20
+14.6%
4 min
3.8%
Connecteo
9.79
12.48
+27.5%
4 min
8.0%
Cascade Canyon
27.51
40.82
+48.4%
4 min
14.8%
Lingfield 16:55 8 runners
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Lesley Buckley
76.63
56.50
-26.3%
10 min
26.4%
Credit Forgedd It
21.51
16.72
-22.2%
10 min
9.0%
Real Gold
99.50
92.59
-6.9%
25 min
32.3%
Irish Fusilier
13.98
14.20
+1.6%
10 min
10.5%
Melodical
10.03
10.98
+9.4%
10 min
9.0%
King Cherry
7.18
8.20
+14.2%
10 min
4.9%
Power Cut
66.67
84.03
+26.1%
10 min
23.9%
Ruiz
58.65
74.63
+27.2%
10 min
13.5%
Carlisle 17:00 9 runners
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Zebra Star
41.84
24.39
-41.7%
under 1 min
12.2%
Lightning Galaxy
10.25
7.67
-25.2%
under 1 min
one-sided
Rory's Gold
31.60
24.39
-22.8%
under 1 min
12.2%
Alcanzor
55.56
45.66
-17.8%
under 1 min
17.5%
Annandale
4.54
4.10
-9.8%
under 1 min
4.9%
Farabove The Limit
13.49
12.25
-9.2%
under 1 min
one-sided
Hey Havana
7.18
8.10
+12.8%
under 1 min
one-sided
Falaise Blanc
8.38
10.14
+21.0%
under 1 min
6.9%
Idyllic
3.42
4.75
+38.7%
under 1 min
2.1%
Ffos Las 17:07 9 runners
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Takeitorleaveit
7.29
6.10
-16.3%
7 min
3.3%
The Anthony Gover
14.35
12.98
-9.5%
7 min
7.7%
Tales Old As Time
18.74
17.21
-8.2%
7 min
8.6%
Grand Pier
4.84
4.70
-3.0%
7 min
4.3%
Brave Leader
6.39
6.79
+6.2%
7 min
5.8%
Symphony's Song
8.58
9.39
+9.5%
7 min
4.2%
Fast Steps
6.78
7.49
+10.5%
7 min
8.0%
Revich
12.71
14.48
+14.0%
7 min
6.8%
Hotel California
21.60
25.84
+19.6%
7 min
15.6%
Newton Abbot 17:12 3 runners
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Lynsey Larue
17.87
15.71
-12.1%
12 min
9.6%
Premier Fantasy
4.07
3.62
-11.0%
12 min
4.1%
Knightsbridge
3.20
3.12
-2.4%
12 min
4.8%
Navan 17:24 19 runners
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Miners Cabin
99.01
63.09
-36.3%
2h 24m
85.5%
Folk Warrior
33.22
25.41
-23.5%
9 min
12.0%
Miss Australie
33.22
25.41
-23.5%
9 min
12.0%
Anightaway
10.99
8.60
-21.8%
9 min
4.6%
Maxwell Smart
22.27
17.71
-20.5%
9 min
8.3%
Highway Sixty One
87.72
75.47
-14.0%
24 min
33.3%
Ms Messi
12.48
11.48
-8.0%
9 min
8.7%
Cala Gracioneta
25.19
23.39
-7.1%
9 min
12.9%
Stepdance
17.11
15.99
-6.6%
9 min
6.2%
Jazz Forever
36.70
35.59
-3.0%
9 min
22.3%
Makaiah
20.60
20.22
-1.8%
9 min
7.5%
Mystic Rose
39.06
40.82
+4.5%
9 min
14.8%
Without Love
6.91
7.70
+11.4%
9 min
2.6%
Arcland
10.99
13.24
+20.5%
9 min
3.7%
Kevin The Great
13.98
16.99
+21.6%
9 min
6.0%
Share The Treasure
20.24
26.42
+30.5%
9 min
11.4%
Desert Friend
49.14
66.67
+35.7%
9 min
23.0%
Deluca Chop
14.93
20.49
+37.3%
9 min
4.9%
Miss Crinshawn
11.18
15.48
+38.5%
9 min
6.5%
Newton Abbot 17:42 6 runners, 3 outside the usual range
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Pivotal Days
85.47
41.67
-51.2%
12 min
19.3%
Buxted Reel
3.07
2.19
-28.8%
12 min
2.7%
Ask Peter
4.65
3.60
-22.5%
12 min
2.8%
Most Wanted
12.82
10.37
-19.1%
12 min
11.5%
Linden Lane
6.10
6.79
+11.4%
12 min
5.8%
Estate Planning
4.89
5.65
+15.4%
57 min
5.3%
Southwell 18:00 10 runners, 2 outside the usual range
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Beaming Light
6.69
5.10
-23.8%
under 1 min
3.9%
Heretic
4.25
3.52
-17.0%
under 1 min
1.4%
Captain Pickles
10.37
9.00
-13.2%
under 1 min
4.4%
Cable Beach
4.30
4.35
+1.2%
under 1 min
2.3%
Captain Kinsella
73.26
84.03
+14.7%
under 1 min
23.9%
Lord Abama
16.16
20.66
+27.9%
under 1 min
12.0%
Dumfries
8.18
10.93
+33.6%
under 1 min
one-sided
Mereside Madness
23.81
33.00
+38.6%
under 1 min
5.9%
Turbo Command
19.78
31.90
+61.2%
under 1 min
one-sided
Pink Socks
50.51
99.01
+96.0%
15 min
20.0%
Newton Abbot 18:12 4 runners, 1 outside the usual range
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Centara
10.34
6.49
-37.3%
12 min
9.2%
Breaking Cover
5.35
4.60
-14.0%
12 min
4.3%
Obsessedwithyou
9.07
9.29
+2.4%
12 min
6.4%
Gower Prince
4.75
4.99
+5.2%
42 min
8.0%
Southwell 18:30 9 runners
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Fulford Cross
10.70
9.09
-15.0%
under 1 min
6.6%
Give Me The Night
4.75
4.55
-4.1%
under 1 min
2.2%
Adelaide Bay
3.35
3.22
-3.6%
under 1 min
1.5%
My Mate Beattie
32.26
31.30
-3.0%
under 1 min
16.1%
King Sharja
7.89
7.78
-1.4%
under 1 min
one-sided
Al Suil Eile
95.24
95.24
0.0%
15 min
one-sided
Shades Of May
8.20
8.69
+6.0%
under 1 min
one-sided
Starshot
31.90
38.99
+22.2%
under 1 min
5.1%
Respectable Jack
13.42
18.94
+41.1%
under 1 min
10.6%
Newton Abbot 18:42 6 runners, 1 outside the usual range
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Blue Siam
58.48
32.10
-45.1%
12 min
21.8%
Touchwoodexpress
5.99
3.47
-42.0%
12 min
1.5%
Man Oh Man
16.72
10.98
-34.4%
12 min
9.0%
Jack The Savage
6.99
5.40
-22.8%
12 min
3.7%
Alberts Bay
24.63
22.40
-9.1%
12 min
13.3%
Final Entry
4.30
4.20
-2.3%
42 min
4.7%
Southwell 19:00 11 runners
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
King's School
52.08
40.00
-23.2%
under 1 min
one-sided
Chalk Mountain
7.60
5.97
-21.4%
under 1 min
one-sided
Fouette
28.69
25.00
-12.9%
under 1 min
one-sided
King Of Fury
26.95
24.94
-7.5%
under 1 min
one-sided
Master Richard
15.48
15.75
+1.7%
under 1 min
3.2%
Pietro
12.48
12.75
+2.1%
under 1 min
one-sided
Mr Noble
3.00
3.11
+3.5%
under 1 min
one-sided
Haaderr
5.30
5.85
+10.3%
under 1 min
one-sided
Carron
24.84
28.01
+12.7%
under 1 min
one-sided
New Image
26.49
30.86
+16.5%
under 1 min
one-sided
Dublin Bay
24.84
32.73
+31.8%
under 1 min
18.2%
Newton Abbot 19:12 3 runners
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
It's A Breeze
3.82
3.75
-2.0%
12 min
one-sided
Lady Kara
4.75
4.90
+3.3%
12 min
one-sided
Quick Sharpener
10.25
10.98
+7.1%
12 min
9.0%
Southwell 19:30 3 runners
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Ebt's Warrior
57.14
36.76
-35.7%
under 1 min
16.3%
El Morjan
9.92
6.87
-30.8%
under 1 min
one-sided
Market Leader
3.55
3.54
-0.3%
under 1 min
one-sided
Newton Abbot 19:42 1 runner
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
King Of The Bronx
17.78
19.78
+11.3%
42 min
20.2%
Southwell 20:00 7 runners
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Too Many Spirits
10.75
7.49
-30.3%
under 1 min
8.0%
Furturra
13.93
11.48
-17.6%
under 1 min
8.7%
Trust Yourself
3.47
2.94
-15.4%
under 1 min
1.4%
Statten Island
19.10
16.72
-12.5%
under 1 min
9.0%
Lord Ragnar
4.70
5.55
+18.1%
under 1 min
1.8%
Nour
4.30
5.23
+21.7%
under 1 min
one-sided
Persian Land
18.94
25.41
+34.2%
under 1 min
12.0%
Southwell 20:30 10 runners
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Fenlander
6.90
6.30
-8.7%
under 1 min
3.2%
Massimo Blue
3.25
2.97
-8.7%
under 1 min
one-sided
Azure Zain
15.94
14.72
-7.7%
under 1 min
10.2%
Bergerac
12.41
13.00
+4.7%
under 1 min
one-sided
Flash Rascal
19.10
20.66
+8.2%
under 1 min
12.0%
Miraculous
6.49
7.50
+15.6%
under 1 min
2.6%
Daytona Lady
18.94
25.84
+36.4%
under 1 min
15.6%
Escape Plan
37.59
53.33
+41.9%
under 1 min
22.1%
Brazen Idol
21.81
32.73
+50.1%
under 1 min
18.2%
Jenever
13.42
20.66
+53.9%
under 1 min
12.0%
Southwell 21:00 5 runners
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Nanny Park
9.81
8.89
-9.4%
under 1 min
6.8%
Currumbin
3.40
3.27
-3.7%
under 1 min
1.5%
Lordsbridge Grey
6.49
6.50
+0.2%
under 1 min
3.1%
Captain Cairney
4.34
4.55
+4.7%
under 1 min
2.2%
Worlington
4.40
4.70
+6.8%
under 1 min
4.3%
“One-sided” means the book had no back or no lay at our last look, so there was no spread to quote. It is the state of the book, not missing data.
What “usual” meant that day
The reference each move was judged against: every move we had measured over the 7 days before this one, by the price the runner opened at. The median is near zero in every band. What changes with the price is how far a move normally goes.
Opening price
Moves measured
5th pct
25th
Median
75th
95th pct
3 to 5
238
-22.0%
-8.7%
+1.3%
+12.2%
+42.0%
5 to 8
361
-31.7%
-10.3%
+0.2%
+14.4%
+48.3%
8 to 13
362
-32.8%
-14.4%
+0.6%
+16.6%
+48.1%
13 to 20
344
-38.7%
-16.7%
-1.2%
+19.3%
+57.8%
20 to 35
360
-43.4%
-20.6%
+3.5%
+26.3%
+95.5%
35 to 100
402
-49.8%
-24.9%
-5.9%
+18.1%
+65.0%
A runner is counted as outside the usual range when its move sits at or below the 5th percentile, or at or above the 95th, for its band. A runner whose opening price falls in a band with fewer than 100 measured moves is left out of the record rather than judged against too little.