14 of the 285 runners on Sun 13 Sept moved further than usual for their price
We sample the Smarkets order book every fifteen minutes until the off. This is the finished record for the races run on Sun 13 Sept: 285 runners in 24 races, each with the first and the last price we saw before it ran. 14 of them moved further than usual for their price.
Corrected. Reissued on 6 October 2026. A faulty country filter had let runners at meetings outside the UK and Ireland, mostly German and Saudi, into this archive. Any that ran on this day have been removed, and every percentile has been recomputed against a baseline without them.
“Usual” is judged against the 24 days we had collected before this one, and nothing later. A move is compared with what had been measured by the evening before, so the count above does not change as the archive grows.
285
runners tracked to the off
24
races
14
outside the usual range
24d
of earlier collection it was judged against
Outside the usual range
Race
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
How unusual for this price
Curragh 13:45
Dark Ace
24.24
9.58
-60.5%
under 1 min
bigger than 99% of moves measured at this price by then
Curragh 13:45
Genesis
32.95
15.43
-53.2%
under 1 min
bigger than 98% of moves measured at this price by then
Doncaster 15:05
Darnation
30.12
71.68
+138.0%
5 min
bigger than 98% of moves measured at this price by then
Bath 15:15
The Craftymaster
9.47
17.08
+80.3%
under 1 min
bigger than 98% of moves measured at this price by then
Doncaster 15:05
Canneza
33.56
71.68
+113.6%
5 min
bigger than 97% of moves measured at this price by then
Bath 15:15
Belle Of Kt
6.14
9.69
+57.8%
under 1 min
bigger than 97% of moves measured at this price by then
Bath 15:15
Percy Jones
56.34
22.32
-60.4%
under 1 min
bigger than 97% of moves measured at this price by then
Curragh 17:45
Lord Massusus
32.95
71.68
+117.6%
under 1 min
bigger than 97% of moves measured at this price by then
Curragh 13:45
Headmaster
18.67
32.10
+71.9%
under 1 min
bigger than 96% of moves measured at this price by then
Bath 15:15
Lusaka
10.70
16.99
+58.9%
under 1 min
bigger than 96% of moves measured at this price by then
Bath 15:50
Sub Thirteen
15.94
9.30
-41.7%
5 min
bigger than 96% of moves measured at this price by then
Curragh 14:15
Switching Sides
20.39
38.02
+86.5%
under 1 min
bigger than 95% of moves measured at this price by then
Bath 15:15
Boilermaker
3.55
2.65
-25.3%
under 1 min
bigger than 95% of moves measured at this price by then
Doncaster 16:15
Call Margot
8.29
12.98
+56.6%
under 1 min
bigger than 95% of moves measured at this price by then
Prices are the mid of the best back and lay on Smarkets, in decimal odds. A negative move is a price shortening. “Last look” is how long before the off we last saw a two-sided book for that runner. Race times are BST.
Every runner that day
Grouped by race, and within a race from the largest shortening to the largest drift, so that money leaving one runner for another shows at the two ends of the same block.
Doncaster 13:25 16 runners
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Novello Lad
75.47
44.84
-40.6%
10 min
13.5%
Ancient State
9.50
8.02
-15.5%
10 min
one-sided
Changeofmind
56.50
49.02
-13.2%
10 min
3.9%
The Man
9.09
7.99
-12.1%
10 min
5.0%
Jer Batt
11.98
10.60
-11.5%
10 min
one-sided
Venture Capital
17.95
16.72
-6.9%
10 min
9.0%
Paddy's Day
80.65
76.63
-5.0%
10 min
19.3%
Henrythenate
92.59
88.89
-4.0%
55 min
22.5%
Canon's House
17.99
18.48
+2.8%
10 min
one-sided
Fortification
13.98
14.74
+5.5%
10 min
one-sided
Hypnotised
6.66
7.20
+8.1%
10 min
one-sided
Wheels Of Fire
20.94
22.94
+9.5%
10 min
8.7%
Maelstrom
9.00
10.02
+11.4%
10 min
one-sided
Adrestia
7.90
9.08
+15.0%
10 min
one-sided
Equity Law
32.10
37.88
+18.0%
10 min
10.6%
Novelette
70.18
99.01
+41.1%
10 min
20.0%
Curragh 13:45 24 runners, 3 outside the usual range
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Dark Ace
24.24
9.58
-60.5%
under 1 min
8.4%
Sir Les Patterson
52.08
23.39
-55.1%
under 1 min
12.9%
Genesis
32.95
15.43
-53.2%
under 1 min
13.0%
Unique Journey
35.03
19.21
-45.1%
under 1 min
7.9%
Red Evolution
36.76
22.40
-39.1%
under 1 min
13.3%
The Highway Rat
91.74
56.50
-38.4%
15 min
26.4%
The Piper's Call
53.91
33.90
-37.1%
under 1 min
11.6%
Staysound Susie
68.73
46.84
-31.9%
under 1 min
12.7%
Strike Red
42.83
32.10
-25.0%
under 1 min
21.8%
Ocean's Breath
46.30
34.78
-24.9%
1h 30m
17.2%
Coul Angel
6.99
5.55
-20.7%
under 1 min
5.4%
Thunderbear
93.02
74.63
-19.8%
under 1 min
13.5%
Rosie Frith
76.63
61.54
-19.7%
15 min
24.4%
Bear On The Run
10.70
9.09
-15.0%
2h 45m
6.6%
Dark Thirty
25.25
23.39
-7.4%
under 1 min
12.9%
Tango Flare
52.49
56.50
+7.6%
under 1 min
26.4%
Sondad
6.19
7.69
+24.1%
under 1 min
7.8%
Dmaniac
19.38
24.39
+25.9%
under 1 min
12.2%
Toyotomi
32.26
40.82
+26.5%
under 1 min
14.8%
Keke
12.20
16.72
+37.0%
under 1 min
9.0%
I Bid You Ajou
68.73
95.69
+39.2%
2h 15m
26.3%
Amiata
58.31
81.97
+40.6%
under 1 min
18.2%
Chicago Pope
19.38
29.33
+51.3%
under 1 min
17.1%
Headmaster
18.67
32.10
+71.9%
under 1 min
21.8%
Doncaster 13:55 12 runners
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Crestofdistinction
65.15
43.96
-32.5%
10 min
9.3%
Oliver Show
13.49
10.03
-25.6%
10 min
one-sided
Blue Brother
5.85
4.80
-17.9%
10 min
one-sided
Asuka
4.90
4.50
-8.1%
10 min
one-sided
Pietro
17.67
17.48
-1.0%
10 min
5.6%
Invictus Gold
26.25
26.49
+0.9%
10 min
one-sided
Completely Random
7.39
8.09
+9.4%
10 min
one-sided
Berkshire Whisper
13.49
14.99
+11.2%
10 min
one-sided
Lakers
14.20
15.99
+12.6%
10 min
6.2%
Milford
24.84
29.90
+20.3%
10 min
13.5%
The Liffey
22.83
32.73
+43.4%
10 min
18.2%
Justcallmepete
62.89
91.74
+45.9%
2h 25m
16.6%
Bath 14:05 13 runners
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Bobby Dassler
95.24
56.50
-40.7%
5 min
26.4%
Time For Action
24.39
16.49
-32.4%
5 min
6.1%
Kaaress
78.74
56.50
-28.2%
5 min
26.4%
Warriors Choice
81.63
61.54
-24.6%
5 min
24.4%
Launceston
10.42
7.90
-24.2%
5 min
2.5%
Shifra
5.92
4.60
-22.3%
5 min
4.3%
Claytons Kolatonic
26.77
22.40
-16.3%
5 min
13.3%
Fitzmaurice
51.55
43.67
-15.3%
5 min
18.5%
Galactic Glow
9.71
9.09
-6.4%
5 min
6.6%
Kev
7.23
7.19
-0.5%
5 min
5.6%
Ravenswell
19.21
20.39
+6.1%
1h 35m
14.6%
Pepper Fizz
10.79
11.48
+6.4%
5 min
8.7%
Gert Lush
5.04
6.90
+36.9%
5 min
2.9%
Curragh 14:15 8 runners, 1 outside the usual range
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Mehmas Star
34.31
29.90
-12.9%
under 1 min
one-sided
Alpe d'Huez
93.90
92.59
-1.4%
30 min
32.3%
Atlantic Bridge
14.43
15.71
+8.9%
under 1 min
one-sided
Sapphire Sun
85.84
99.50
+15.9%
1h 30m
35.9%
Treasurer
58.48
69.69
+19.2%
under 1 min
one-sided
Ten Clarets
40.98
58.31
+42.3%
under 1 min
34.2%
Lord Ragnar
58.31
90.91
+55.9%
under 1 min
one-sided
Switching Sides
20.39
38.02
+86.5%
under 1 min
one-sided
Doncaster 14:30 14 runners
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Lion of Mali
15.71
10.98
-30.1%
under 1 min
9.0%
Intense Vision
12.51
9.20
-26.5%
under 1 min
one-sided
Wechaad
4.45
4.02
-9.7%
under 1 min
one-sided
Raging Raj
16.72
15.15
-9.4%
under 1 min
one-sided
Aspiral
93.46
95.69
+2.4%
2h 15m
26.3%
Ourbren
73.53
76.63
+4.2%
under 1 min
19.3%
Ironwill
10.48
10.98
+4.8%
under 1 min
one-sided
Flight Control
11.74
12.75
+8.5%
under 1 min
4.0%
Langstone
6.05
6.70
+10.9%
under 1 min
one-sided
Zooming
21.95
24.39
+11.1%
under 1 min
12.2%
Military Code
20.39
24.48
+20.1%
under 1 min
one-sided
Samra Green
28.69
41.93
+46.1%
under 1 min
9.7%
Invincible Will
20.39
33.00
+61.9%
under 1 min
one-sided
Inishbeg
33.56
61.54
+83.4%
under 1 min
24.4%
Bath 14:40 11 runners
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Clear Horizon
16.49
12.50
-24.2%
10 min
one-sided
Allaboutthelunch
43.67
36.76
-15.8%
10 min
16.3%
Zonneveld
31.50
27.40
-13.0%
10 min
11.0%
Magical Life
6.29
5.75
-8.6%
10 min
one-sided
Q T Boy
2.91
2.81
-3.5%
10 min
one-sided
Amethyst Star
16.16
15.71
-2.7%
10 min
9.6%
Gravastar
21.81
24.84
+13.9%
10 min
16.3%
Goblet
8.18
9.79
+19.7%
10 min
4.1%
Thunda Struck
16.56
19.96
+20.6%
10 min
10.0%
Secret Flite
17.38
23.39
+34.6%
10 min
12.9%
Dark Reign
24.36
34.78
+42.8%
10 min
17.2%
Curragh 14:50 7 runners
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Ballinea Star
99.50
73.53
-26.1%
20 min
26.9%
Sun Goddess
1.89
1.69
-10.4%
5 min
one-sided
Alpha
9.39
9.00
-4.2%
5 min
one-sided
Dancing Destiny
23.81
25.97
+9.1%
5 min
one-sided
Controlla
63.49
73.53
+15.8%
5 min
one-sided
Green Empress
3.75
4.65
+24.0%
5 min
one-sided
Ibelieveicanfly
54.50
85.84
+57.5%
3h 50m
28.9%
Doncaster 15:05 13 runners, 2 outside the usual range
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Magic Basma
93.46
46.84
-49.9%
5 min
12.7%
Royal Velvet
68.26
34.78
-49.0%
5 min
17.2%
Copacabana Sands
27.29
22.99
-15.7%
5 min
one-sided
Forty Years On
3.02
2.65
-12.5%
5 min
one-sided
Touleen
4.55
4.75
+4.3%
5 min
one-sided
Arabian Dusk
39.60
42.83
+8.1%
5 min
14.2%
Wannabe Royal
52.08
56.50
+8.5%
5 min
26.4%
The Prettiest Star
9.09
10.70
+17.6%
5 min
14.0%
Planet Seeker
15.21
19.74
+29.8%
5 min
one-sided
Sukanya
68.49
99.50
+45.3%
5h 5m
35.9%
Pina Sonata
20.39
31.30
+53.5%
5 min
16.1%
Canneza
33.56
71.68
+113.6%
5 min
21.0%
Darnation
30.12
71.68
+138.0%
5 min
21.0%
Bath 15:15 13 runners, 5 outside the usual range
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Percy Jones
56.34
22.32
-60.4%
under 1 min
one-sided
Noble Grace
43.20
24.39
-43.5%
under 1 min
12.2%
Virtual Hug
86.96
61.54
-29.2%
under 1 min
24.4%
Boilermaker
3.55
2.65
-25.3%
under 1 min
2.3%
Curran
29.46
23.95
-18.7%
under 1 min
8.4%
Basilette
10.25
8.90
-13.2%
under 1 min
2.2%
Fair Dinkum
24.72
24.39
-1.3%
under 1 min
12.2%
Buck Barrow
80.00
81.63
+2.0%
1h 30m
55.1%
Taritino
11.70
14.74
+25.9%
under 1 min
one-sided
Two Plus Two
21.21
31.30
+47.6%
under 1 min
16.1%
Belle Of Kt
6.14
9.69
+57.8%
under 1 min
6.2%
Lusaka
10.70
16.99
+58.9%
under 1 min
6.0%
The Craftymaster
9.47
17.08
+80.3%
under 1 min
20.5%
Curragh 15:25 12 runners
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Spicy Marg
46.30
33.90
-26.8%
10 min
11.6%
Big Gossey
85.84
66.67
-22.3%
10 min
23.0%
Jm Jungle
32.89
27.40
-16.7%
10 min
11.0%
Night Raider
13.21
11.98
-9.3%
10 min
8.4%
Starlust
19.21
17.71
-7.8%
10 min
8.3%
Time For Sandals
5.25
4.95
-5.6%
10 min
one-sided
American Affair
11.92
11.74
-1.5%
10 min
4.3%
Mission Central
16.45
17.01
+3.4%
10 min
one-sided
Jakajaro
36.36
37.88
+4.2%
10 min
10.6%
Comanche Brave
3.52
3.69
+4.9%
10 min
one-sided
Rumstar
13.93
14.74
+5.8%
10 min
3.4%
Cover Up
14.43
16.00
+10.9%
10 min
one-sided
Doncaster 15:40 9 runners
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Say What You See
7.38
6.10
-17.3%
10 min
3.3%
Dancing In Paris
8.80
7.99
-9.1%
10 min
5.0%
Boatswain
11.20
10.25
-8.6%
10 min
4.9%
Valedictory
4.20
4.02
-4.2%
10 min
one-sided
Fantasy World
14.20
13.98
-1.6%
1h 55m
7.1%
Ernst Blofeld
8.39
8.30
-1.1%
10 min
2.5%
Arqoob
23.39
23.39
0.0%
10 min
12.9%
Team Player
16.72
17.71
+5.9%
10 min
8.3%
All In You
6.79
8.39
+23.5%
10 min
4.8%
Bath 15:50 17 runners, 1 outside the usual range
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Sisters In The Sky
58.65
29.90
-49.0%
5 min
13.5%
Sub Thirteen
15.94
9.30
-41.7%
5 min
2.1%
Rinky Tinky Tinky
31.60
20.94
-33.7%
5 min
9.4%
Dark Sun
15.86
12.25
-22.8%
5 min
4.0%
My Boy Jack
21.81
19.21
-11.9%
5 min
7.9%
Geemann
23.64
21.39
-9.5%
5 min
14.0%
Sioux Warrior
22.99
22.40
-2.6%
5 min
13.3%
Southbank
33.61
32.73
-2.6%
5 min
18.2%
Coast
97.56
95.69
-1.9%
5 min
26.3%
Neptune Legend
16.65
17.71
+6.4%
5 min
8.3%
Cougar Force
81.63
89.69
+9.9%
5 min
11.7%
Legendsoftheland
5.24
5.85
+11.7%
5 min
1.7%
Mortubo
5.85
6.69
+14.3%
5 min
one-sided
Big Time Rascal
8.78
10.48
+19.3%
5 min
9.6%
Honour Your Dreams
27.29
34.78
+27.5%
5 min
17.2%
The Feminine Urge
19.18
27.40
+42.9%
5 min
11.0%
Nordic Glory
47.73
68.49
+43.5%
5 min
29.4%
Curragh 16:00 8 runners
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Folsom Blues
9.60
8.48
-11.6%
under 1 min
one-sided
Giant Sequoia
6.14
5.68
-7.4%
under 1 min
one-sided
Monogram
3.75
3.57
-4.9%
under 1 min
one-sided
Florida Bay
14.74
14.41
-2.2%
under 1 min
one-sided
Trean
36.36
38.76
+6.6%
under 1 min
15.6%
Porto Vecchio
24.84
27.03
+8.8%
under 1 min
one-sided
Haffner
8.69
10.03
+15.4%
under 1 min
9.0%
Dr Rascal
4.54
5.95
+30.9%
under 1 min
1.7%
Doncaster 16:15 10 runners, 1 outside the usual range
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Copper Knight
19.38
13.49
-30.4%
under 1 min
7.4%
Spoof
47.62
36.76
-22.8%
under 1 min
16.3%
Fantasy Master
9.39
7.60
-19.1%
under 1 min
5.2%
Kinetic Force
10.37
8.56
-17.4%
under 1 min
one-sided
Big Fun
15.71
13.75
-12.5%
under 1 min
3.7%
Tiriac
11.20
11.48
+2.5%
under 1 min
8.7%
Hiya Maite
10.98
11.48
+4.6%
under 1 min
8.7%
Winged Messenger
7.09
7.50
+5.8%
under 1 min
one-sided
Tiva
4.40
4.83
+9.7%
under 1 min
one-sided
Call Margot
8.29
12.98
+56.6%
under 1 min
7.7%
Bath 16:25 6 runners
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Adelaides Turn
96.15
63.49
-34.0%
10 min
31.9%
On The Queue Tee
7.69
7.20
-6.4%
10 min
one-sided
Big Hitter
1.68
1.70
+0.8%
10 min
one-sided
Romidijo
6.89
6.99
+1.5%
10 min
5.7%
Sacred Rhythm
9.18
10.48
+14.1%
10 min
9.6%
Crimson Blaze
27.43
43.67
+59.2%
10 min
18.5%
Curragh 16:35 5 runners
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Arabian Force
88.50
53.33
-39.7%
5 min
22.1%
Trustyourinstinct
12.93
11.74
-9.2%
5 min
4.3%
Queenstown
39.84
36.76
-7.7%
5 min
16.3%
Jan Brueghel
7.19
7.10
-1.3%
5 min
2.8%
Tennessee Stud
68.26
88.89
+30.2%
5 min
22.5%
Doncaster 16:50 10 runners
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Angel Numbers
95.24
66.67
-30.0%
5 min
23.0%
Rock Of England
7.10
5.20
-26.8%
5 min
3.8%
Smart Vision
10.48
9.69
-7.5%
5 min
6.2%
Emerald Harmony
12.48
12.75
+2.1%
5 min
4.0%
Duran
6.69
6.99
+4.6%
5 min
5.7%
Maharajas Express
5.75
6.10
+6.1%
5 min
3.3%
U S S Charleston
10.98
11.98
+9.1%
5 min
8.4%
Grandlad
27.43
31.30
+14.1%
5 min
16.1%
Mighty Magnus
8.69
10.25
+17.9%
5 min
4.9%
Tanjen
8.58
10.75
+25.3%
5 min
4.6%
Bath 17:00 11 runners
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Lochaber
99.01
58.31
-41.1%
under 1 min
34.2%
It's A Mugs Game
90.91
61.54
-32.3%
under 1 min
24.4%
Recon Mission
8.58
6.70
-21.9%
under 1 min
2.9%
Outer Edge
6.05
5.79
-4.2%
under 1 min
one-sided
Ken Brulee
12.93
12.48
-3.4%
under 1 min
8.0%
Wedgewood
13.93
13.49
-3.2%
under 1 min
7.4%
Ten Cuidado
23.64
23.47
-0.7%
under 1 min
4.2%
Macanudo
6.69
7.10
+6.1%
under 1 min
2.8%
Jackie Brown
9.69
11.70
+20.8%
under 1 min
12.8%
Symbol of Hope
7.49
9.60
+28.2%
under 1 min
4.2%
Spirited Dancer
7.89
10.25
+29.9%
under 1 min
4.9%
Curragh 17:10 8 runners
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Timeforshowcasing
13.21
12.25
-7.3%
10 min
4.0%
Thundering On
2.47
2.31
-6.5%
10 min
one-sided
Lilt
6.19
5.90
-4.8%
10 min
3.4%
Symbol Of Majesty
6.99
7.79
+11.5%
10 min
5.1%
Wemightakedlongway
34.78
41.84
+20.3%
10 min
one-sided
Shaool
34.78
44.84
+28.9%
10 min
13.5%
Jennifer Jane
29.90
40.82
+36.5%
10 min
14.8%
Red Letter
8.39
11.98
+42.7%
10 min
8.4%
Doncaster 17:20 16 runners
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Ay Up Duck
53.91
31.90
-40.8%
5 min
12.5%
Arduis Invicta
26.67
20.22
-24.2%
5 min
7.5%
Mo Of Cairo
10.75
9.10
-15.3%
5 min
2.2%
Miraculous
10.70
9.30
-13.1%
5 min
2.1%
Archduke Ferdinand
13.42
11.74
-12.5%
5 min
4.3%
Sixtygeesbaby
10.48
9.50
-9.4%
5 min
2.1%
Shazani
13.42
12.98
-3.3%
5 min
7.7%
Dandy Magic
7.39
7.50
+1.4%
5 min
2.6%
Purest Time
14.64
14.98
+2.3%
5 min
6.7%
Evening Blues
32.10
34.78
+8.3%
5 min
17.2%
Topwarrior
30.12
33.90
+12.5%
5 min
11.6%
Jenever
14.35
16.99
+18.4%
5 min
6.0%
Rotokura Belle
44.44
56.50
+27.1%
5 min
26.4%
Charlie Mason
17.95
23.95
+33.4%
5 min
8.4%
Raatea
25.00
36.76
+47.1%
5 min
16.3%
Another Investment
18.17
27.40
+50.8%
5 min
11.0%
Bath 17:30 10 runners
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Port Erin
14.43
10.25
-29.0%
under 1 min
4.9%
Sant Alessio
26.08
19.74
-24.3%
under 1 min
one-sided
Denby's Dream
31.60
23.95
-24.2%
under 1 min
8.4%
Oviedo
3.55
3.05
-14.1%
under 1 min
one-sided
Footstepinthewoods
6.03
6.66
+10.5%
under 1 min
one-sided
Tonal
11.20
12.75
+13.8%
under 1 min
4.0%
Rating
9.58
12.75
+33.0%
under 1 min
4.0%
Blue Hero
7.84
10.86
+38.5%
under 1 min
one-sided
Risen Again
17.47
27.40
+56.8%
under 1 min
11.0%
Red Moon
26.85
42.83
+59.5%
under 1 min
14.2%
Curragh 17:45 22 runners, 1 outside the usual range
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Summer Is Tomorrow
24.24
15.76
-35.0%
under 1 min
one-sided
Fixation
23.23
16.65
-28.3%
under 1 min
one-sided
Alphonsus Liguori
8.80
6.99
-20.5%
under 1 min
5.7%
Genuine Article
99.01
78.74
-20.5%
15 min
25.6%
Pierre Royal
19.38
15.71
-18.9%
under 1 min
9.6%
Adelaide River
79.05
66.67
-15.7%
under 1 min
23.0%
High Degree
6.78
5.80
-14.4%
under 1 min
3.4%
Johnny Soda
68.49
61.54
-10.2%
under 1 min
24.4%
Apercu
98.04
93.46
-4.7%
3h 30m
75.9%
Orandi
52.49
51.28
-2.3%
15 min
13.4%
Sky Captain
13.93
13.72
-1.5%
under 1 min
one-sided
Lips Freedom
53.91
56.50
+4.8%
under 1 min
26.4%
Perry Mason
42.46
47.96
+12.9%
under 1 min
one-sided
Manton Bay
10.48
12.48
+19.2%
under 1 min
8.0%
Amadeus Mozart
9.47
11.48
+21.2%
under 1 min
8.7%
Eastwatch
50.76
61.54
+21.2%
under 1 min
24.4%
God Of Power
24.24
31.30
+29.1%
under 1 min
16.1%
Kai Lung
16.45
23.12
+40.6%
under 1 min
one-sided
Ribee
57.14
86.96
+52.2%
under 1 min
17.5%
Retracement
30.17
53.33
+76.8%
under 1 min
22.1%
Iron Fist
22.47
40.82
+81.6%
under 1 min
14.8%
Lord Massusus
32.95
71.68
+117.6%
under 1 min
21.0%
Bath 18:00 10 runners
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Sagremor
27.86
19.96
-28.3%
under 1 min
10.0%
Dark Rosa
10.03
7.99
-20.3%
under 1 min
5.0%
Danehill Star
13.49
11.31
-16.2%
under 1 min
one-sided
Flag Carrier
18.80
15.99
-14.9%
under 1 min
6.2%
Albus Anne
6.57
6.10
-7.3%
under 1 min
3.3%
Chelio
11.42
10.98
-3.8%
under 1 min
9.0%
Eutropia
4.00
4.35
+8.8%
under 1 min
2.3%
Mr Tony
7.06
8.20
+16.0%
under 1 min
4.9%
Dappled Light
17.15
20.66
+20.5%
under 1 min
12.0%
Grimese's Special
72.73
99.01
+36.1%
45 min
50.4%
“One-sided” means the book had no back or no lay at our last look, so there was no spread to quote. It is the state of the book, not missing data.
What “usual” meant that day
The reference each move was judged against: every move we had measured over the 24 days before this one, by the price the runner opened at. The median is near zero in every band. What changes with the price is how far a move normally goes.
Opening price
Moves measured
5th pct
25th
Median
75th
95th pct
1.5 to 3
331
-18.0%
-7.0%
+1.5%
+11.2%
+38.2%
3 to 5
887
-26.1%
-9.7%
+1.3%
+13.3%
+39.1%
5 to 8
1,408
-31.7%
-11.7%
+0.4%
+13.6%
+48.8%
8 to 13
1,572
-33.7%
-13.2%
+1.1%
+18.0%
+56.3%
13 to 20
1,195
-38.7%
-15.9%
+1.6%
+22.7%
+66.9%
20 to 35
1,265
-42.3%
-16.7%
+4.0%
+26.9%
+92.1%
35 to 100
1,397
-56.5%
-28.0%
-5.1%
+18.1%
+65.2%
A runner is counted as outside the usual range when its move sits at or below the 5th percentile, or at or above the 95th, for its band. A runner whose opening price falls in a band with fewer than 100 measured moves is left out of the record rather than judged against too little.