17 of the 247 runners on Mon 14 Sept moved further than usual for their price
We sample the Smarkets order book every fifteen minutes until the off. This is the finished record for the races run on Mon 14 Sept: 247 runners in 29 races, each with the first and the last price we saw before it ran. 17 of them moved further than usual for their price.
Corrected. Reissued on 6 October 2026. A faulty country filter had let runners at meetings outside the UK and Ireland, mostly German and Saudi, into this archive. Any that ran on this day have been removed, and every percentile has been recomputed against a baseline without them.
“Usual” is judged against the 25 days we had collected before this one, and nothing later. A move is compared with what had been measured by the evening before, so the count above does not change as the archive grows.
247
runners tracked to the off
29
races
17
outside the usual range
25d
of earlier collection it was judged against
Outside the usual range
Race
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
How unusual for this price
Sedgefield 14:30
Helmsley
34.25
10.48
-69.4%
under 1 min
a larger shortening than any measured at this price by then
Kempton 19:30
Encore
2.70
1.57
-41.8%
under 1 min
a larger shortening than any measured at this price by then
Kempton 19:30
Forbidden Colours
2.97
6.59
+121.8%
under 1 min
a larger drift than any measured at this price by then
Kempton 19:30
March Of Time
22.99
86.96
+278.3%
under 1 min
a larger drift than any measured at this price by then
Kempton 17:30
Ivat Ghia
12.20
5.90
-51.7%
under 1 min
bigger than 99% of moves measured at this price by then
Kempton 18:30
Intangible Truth
26.42
71.68
+171.3%
under 1 min
bigger than 99% of moves measured at this price by then
Thirsk 14:51
Ma Fille De Reve
13.63
7.52
-44.9%
6 min
bigger than 98% of moves measured at this price by then
Kempton 17:30
Celtic John
29.46
13.98
-52.6%
under 1 min
bigger than 98% of moves measured at this price by then
Thirsk 14:21
Hickton
8.07
13.49
+67.2%
6 min
bigger than 97% of moves measured at this price by then
Windsor 15:12
Baba Ganoush
39.06
71.68
+83.5%
12 min
bigger than 97% of moves measured at this price by then
Thirsk 15:21
Diamondsforyou
3.15
4.59
+45.9%
6 min
bigger than 97% of moves measured at this price by then
Thirsk 16:21
Showtown
16.16
29.90
+85.1%
6 min
bigger than 97% of moves measured at this price by then
Kempton 17:30
Mbappe
20.08
10.25
-49.0%
under 1 min
bigger than 97% of moves measured at this price by then
Sedgefield 15:00
Uncle Al
8.18
5.21
-36.3%
under 1 min
bigger than 96% of moves measured at this price by then
Sedgefield 14:30
Mighty Dink
32.89
61.54
+87.1%
under 1 min
bigger than 95% of moves measured at this price by then
Thirsk 14:51
Dream On Kent
30.17
17.26
-42.8%
6 min
bigger than 95% of moves measured at this price by then
Kempton 17:30
Eulalia
18.71
11.48
-38.6%
under 1 min
bigger than 95% of moves measured at this price by then
Prices are the mid of the best back and lay on Smarkets, in decimal odds. A negative move is a price shortening. “Last look” is how long before the off we last saw a two-sided book for that runner. Race times are BST.
Every runner that day
Grouped by race, and within a race from the largest shortening to the largest drift, so that money leaving one runner for another shows at the two ends of the same block.
Windsor 13:42 11 runners
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Ribenska
30.86
21.01
-31.9%
12 min
one-sided
Knowledge
23.23
18.48
-20.4%
12 min
5.5%
Mertoun
7.70
6.40
-16.8%
12 min
one-sided
Amused
29.46
26.95
-8.5%
12 min
7.6%
Maria Da Silva
32.89
30.44
-7.5%
12 min
10.1%
Virtue Patience
28.09
26.42
-5.9%
12 min
11.4%
Phantom Watch
20.08
18.98
-5.5%
12 min
5.3%
Kiani King
6.39
6.50
+1.7%
12 min
3.1%
Marsh Benham
5.55
6.10
+9.9%
12 min
3.3%
Newfangled
5.35
6.10
+14.1%
12 min
3.3%
Crafty Blue
9.58
11.48
+19.8%
12 min
one-sided
Sedgefield 14:00 3 runners
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Parikarma
5.99
4.42
-26.2%
under 1 min
one-sided
Paddy De Pole
2.83
2.85
+0.9%
under 1 min
one-sided
Fairlawn Skipper
2.11
2.37
+12.5%
under 1 min
one-sided
Windsor 14:12 8 runners
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Duchess Of Immatin
8.80
6.40
-27.2%
12 min
one-sided
Major Looktwice
64.31
56.50
-12.1%
12 min
26.4%
Go Go Girl
31.30
30.72
-1.8%
12 min
one-sided
Urumita
7.87
7.99
+1.6%
12 min
one-sided
Red Blue Point
2.11
2.17
+2.8%
12 min
one-sided
Crazee In Havana
15.15
16.49
+8.8%
12 min
6.1%
Time Teller
68.73
84.03
+22.3%
3h 27m
96.3%
Instant Force
6.59
8.10
+22.8%
12 min
one-sided
Thirsk 14:21 11 runners, 1 outside the usual range
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Storm On Jura
41.75
27.40
-34.4%
6 min
11.0%
Dream Of Ithaca
6.03
4.75
-21.3%
6 min
2.1%
Alcanzor
27.29
22.40
-17.9%
6 min
13.3%
Time Twister
44.35
38.76
-12.6%
6 min
15.6%
Pop The Question
23.34
21.39
-8.3%
6 min
14.0%
Satyress
2.80
2.75
-1.7%
6 min
one-sided
Muhib
18.18
18.23
+0.3%
6 min
8.2%
Caledonian Dream
66.89
88.89
+32.9%
6 min
22.5%
Off Spin
6.46
9.20
+42.4%
6 min
one-sided
Clova Royale
61.35
95.69
+56.0%
21 min
26.3%
Hickton
8.07
13.49
+67.2%
6 min
7.4%
Sedgefield 14:30 6 runners, 2 outside the usual range
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Helmsley
34.25
10.48
-69.4%
under 1 min
9.6%
Blue Topaz
90.09
73.53
-18.4%
under 1 min
26.9%
Tralee Girl
1.60
1.56
-2.4%
under 1 min
one-sided
You Be Lucky Jean
4.65
6.19
+33.3%
under 1 min
6.5%
Mia Sunshine
10.37
15.53
+49.8%
under 1 min
one-sided
Mighty Dink
32.89
61.54
+87.1%
under 1 min
24.4%
Windsor 14:42 2 runners
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Song Of The Clouds
3.94
4.40
+11.5%
12 min
4.6%
Journalism
15.71
20.66
+31.5%
12 min
12.0%
Thirsk 14:51 16 runners, 2 outside the usual range
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Baila Morena
52.49
28.45
-45.8%
6 min
10.6%
Ma Fille De Reve
13.63
7.52
-44.9%
6 min
one-sided
Dream On Kent
30.17
17.26
-42.8%
6 min
2.9%
Tiger In The Tree
56.34
32.73
-41.9%
6 min
18.2%
Big Bad Storm
88.50
67.34
-23.9%
6 min
7.4%
River Jordan
20.18
20.94
+3.8%
6 min
9.4%
Bladey Lady
5.77
6.10
+5.6%
6 min
3.3%
Dissenter
4.89
5.20
+6.3%
6 min
one-sided
Claret And Blues
14.59
16.49
+13.0%
6 min
one-sided
Purrista
53.91
61.54
+14.2%
6 min
24.4%
Breaking The Habit
57.97
66.67
+15.0%
6 min
23.0%
Le Ciel Noble
17.11
21.95
+28.3%
6 min
9.0%
Claret Time
6.72
9.50
+41.2%
6 min
2.1%
Dadawada
47.28
68.49
+44.9%
21 min
29.4%
Mrs Mole
18.15
26.42
+45.6%
6 min
11.4%
Sunrise At Dawn
24.39
40.82
+67.3%
6 min
14.8%
Sedgefield 15:00 5 runners, 1 outside the usual range
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Uncle Al
8.18
5.21
-36.3%
under 1 min
one-sided
Jeteye
2.12
2.23
+5.4%
under 1 min
one-sided
Aill Dubh
4.75
5.13
+8.0%
under 1 min
one-sided
Bahtiyar
7.29
9.25
+26.9%
under 1 min
one-sided
Croagh Patrick
17.99
26.95
+49.9%
under 1 min
7.6%
Windsor 15:12 6 runners, 1 outside the usual range
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Queen Of Scotland
1.89
1.75
-7.9%
12 min
0.6%
Soul Of Appin
40.49
39.60
-2.2%
12 min
20.4%
Crown Of Crowns
3.37
3.47
+3.0%
12 min
1.5%
Marquetry
25.25
31.30
+23.9%
12 min
16.1%
Seacole
10.79
13.71
+27.0%
12 min
10.9%
Baba Ganoush
39.06
71.68
+83.5%
12 min
21.0%
Thirsk 15:21 4 runners, 1 outside the usual range
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Master Celeritas
16.05
10.70
-33.4%
6 min
one-sided
Nicamoo
93.02
84.03
-9.7%
6 min
96.3%
Majestic Jude
1.62
1.55
-4.2%
36 min
1.9%
Diamondsforyou
3.15
4.59
+45.9%
6 min
one-sided
Sedgefield 15:30 5 runners
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Achille Des Rocs
5.79
4.87
-16.0%
under 1 min
one-sided
Tom Creen
12.41
11.24
-9.4%
under 1 min
4.4%
Maggies Boy
13.49
12.71
-5.8%
under 1 min
11.7%
Mr Mcwhinny
1.85
2.00
+8.1%
under 1 min
1.5%
Clean Getaway
7.29
8.89
+22.0%
under 1 min
6.8%
Windsor 15:42 12 runners
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Tiger Tulip
14.35
12.20
-14.9%
12 min
one-sided
Hierarchy
14.35
13.24
-7.7%
12 min
3.7%
Cape Toronada
9.90
9.25
-6.6%
12 min
one-sided
Distant Rumble
10.25
9.69
-5.4%
12 min
one-sided
Silky Robin
23.64
22.40
-5.3%
12 min
13.3%
Liosa
20.39
21.39
+4.9%
12 min
14.0%
Strike
18.74
19.67
+4.9%
12 min
one-sided
Thankuappreciate
18.80
20.22
+7.6%
12 min
7.5%
Rebel Path
4.12
4.45
+8.1%
12 min
2.3%
Cypriot Diaspora
15.86
18.23
+14.9%
12 min
8.2%
Kiss And Run
8.09
9.58
+18.4%
12 min
one-sided
Riley Rocks
21.48
28.49
+32.6%
12 min
one-sided
Thirsk 15:51 11 runners
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Fan Mail
4.54
3.49
-23.2%
6 min
one-sided
Lamlash Bay
7.18
6.60
-8.0%
6 min
one-sided
Ganthorpe
60.79
56.50
-7.1%
6 min
26.4%
Wodao
30.86
30.86
0.0%
6 min
one-sided
Dabbling
26.67
27.40
+2.7%
6 min
11.0%
Agric Ranger
85.11
89.69
+5.4%
1h 51m
132.3%
Paroda Diva
6.09
6.70
+10.0%
6 min
one-sided
Macedonian
6.14
7.47
+21.6%
6 min
one-sided
Why Because
14.85
18.08
+21.8%
6 min
one-sided
Record Day
8.76
12.25
+39.9%
6 min
4.0%
Mare Of London
19.38
28.45
+46.8%
6 min
10.6%
Sedgefield 16:00 10 runners
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Beny Nahar Road
17.15
14.49
-15.5%
under 1 min
one-sided
Aimeric
5.05
4.35
-13.8%
under 1 min
2.3%
Lone Star
18.17
15.75
-13.3%
under 1 min
one-sided
Roadshow
17.95
17.71
-1.3%
under 1 min
one-sided
William Yeats
2.19
2.25
+2.7%
under 1 min
one-sided
Bodygroove
41.15
43.01
+4.5%
under 1 min
4.7%
Yanka Blue
15.86
16.93
+6.8%
under 1 min
one-sided
Tracker Issue
31.50
34.97
+11.0%
under 1 min
one-sided
Joto
28.09
31.90
+13.6%
under 1 min
12.5%
Bannister
57.97
75.19
+29.7%
under 1 min
one-sided
Windsor 16:12 9 runners
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Son Of Man
45.77
38.76
-15.3%
12 min
15.6%
Great Bedwyn
7.30
6.78
-7.2%
12 min
one-sided
Parisian Scholar
10.02
9.39
-6.2%
12 min
4.2%
John T
17.44
16.72
-4.1%
12 min
9.0%
Aravalli
8.64
8.70
+0.7%
12 min
2.3%
King Of Berkshire
2.80
2.85
+1.8%
12 min
one-sided
Zarakerjack
38.84
40.82
+5.1%
12 min
14.8%
Macari
30.12
32.10
+6.6%
12 min
21.8%
Brigid's Well
6.29
8.10
+28.8%
12 min
2.4%
Thirsk 16:21 10 runners, 1 outside the usual range
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Riffa Spirit
99.01
80.65
-18.5%
21 min
31.4%
Mo Anam Chara
6.59
5.38
-18.4%
6 min
one-sided
Thornaby Annie
12.41
10.14
-18.3%
6 min
6.9%
Real Jack
5.08
5.00
-1.7%
6 min
4.0%
Soca Star
17.15
17.71
+3.3%
6 min
8.3%
Hatamoto
3.40
3.57
+5.2%
6 min
1.4%
Kody B
13.24
14.49
+9.4%
6 min
one-sided
Napolian
22.99
29.90
+30.0%
6 min
13.5%
Derrygarran Lad
30.86
40.82
+32.2%
6 min
14.8%
Showtown
16.16
29.90
+85.1%
6 min
13.5%
Sedgefield 16:30 9 runners
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Mr Globalist
32.95
20.94
-36.4%
under 1 min
9.4%
Character Testing
6.89
5.65
-18.0%
under 1 min
one-sided
Karthala
15.36
15.24
-0.8%
under 1 min
3.4%
Expert Analysis
7.78
7.90
+1.5%
under 1 min
2.5%
Peace Motivator
93.46
98.04
+4.9%
1h 30m
67.0%
Littletown Lad
2.36
2.54
+7.5%
under 1 min
one-sided
Scoro
10.42
11.31
+8.5%
under 1 min
one-sided
Red Trail
23.81
26.95
+13.2%
under 1 min
one-sided
Twilight Safari
14.64
18.80
+28.4%
under 1 min
one-sided
Windsor 16:42 11 runners
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Keeper Of Secrets
28.09
24.39
-13.2%
12 min
12.2%
Crazy Plan
4.88
4.44
-9.1%
12 min
one-sided
Artavian
10.91
10.75
-1.5%
12 min
4.6%
Churchill's Spirit
49.38
50.13
+1.5%
12 min
17.7%
Electric Bass
5.58
5.75
+3.0%
12 min
one-sided
Time After Time
5.00
5.35
+7.0%
12 min
1.9%
Offiah's Boy
16.86
18.23
+8.1%
12 min
8.2%
Amalou
31.50
34.78
+10.4%
12 min
17.2%
Madame Passant
14.64
16.22
+10.8%
12 min
9.3%
Shabu Shabu
14.35
17.21
+20.0%
12 min
8.6%
Jimmy Mark
20.08
24.39
+21.5%
12 min
12.2%
Thirsk 16:51 9 runners
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Alessia Fernanda
19.88
16.50
-17.0%
6 min
one-sided
Donna Nook
4.74
4.55
-4.0%
6 min
2.2%
Vega's Virtue
10.34
10.00
-3.3%
6 min
one-sided
Always Blue
7.26
7.09
-2.4%
6 min
one-sided
Ravishing Beauty
16.16
16.00
-1.0%
6 min
one-sided
Catton Lady
9.18
9.10
-0.9%
6 min
2.2%
Fractional
4.69
4.85
+3.4%
6 min
one-sided
Kiss Me My Love
11.11
12.00
+8.0%
6 min
one-sided
Reader
32.26
42.83
+32.8%
6 min
one-sided
Kempton 17:00 3 runners
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Femme Fatale
2.19
1.96
-10.6%
under 1 min
one-sided
Ramensky
3.30
3.38
+2.4%
15 min
1.5%
Virtue Diligence
4.20
5.10
+21.5%
15 min
3.9%
Windsor 17:12 12 runners
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Fletcher's Flight
62.89
44.84
-28.7%
12 min
13.5%
Davorge Nation
29.33
26.42
-9.9%
12 min
11.4%
Darkened Edge
7.38
6.70
-9.2%
12 min
2.9%
Cameley Days
4.99
4.70
-5.9%
12 min
one-sided
Faustus
6.98
6.70
-4.0%
12 min
2.9%
Pedros Dream
88.50
88.89
+0.4%
42 min
22.5%
Dragon God
6.05
6.10
+0.9%
12 min
3.3%
So Smart
25.00
25.41
+1.7%
12 min
12.0%
Balon D'or
14.14
14.49
+2.5%
12 min
one-sided
Enter Sandman
19.10
21.48
+12.5%
12 min
one-sided
Unico
21.91
31.30
+42.9%
12 min
16.1%
Sandscreendeliverd
10.48
14.98
+43.0%
12 min
6.7%
Thirsk 17:21 11 runners
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Avatar Jet
5.99
5.20
-13.2%
6 min
one-sided
The Childe Of Hale
4.90
4.39
-10.4%
6 min
one-sided
Jenni
25.38
25.64
+1.0%
6 min
one-sided
Novak
8.78
9.00
+2.4%
6 min
4.4%
Folkene
12.48
12.98
+4.0%
6 min
7.7%
Forest Caper
20.81
21.95
+5.5%
6 min
9.0%
Red Hat Eagle
4.70
4.99
+6.3%
6 min
one-sided
Surprised
34.31
38.76
+13.0%
6 min
15.6%
Precious Spartan
42.02
53.33
+26.9%
6 min
22.1%
Evocative Spark
24.24
32.73
+35.0%
6 min
18.2%
Camera Shy
22.22
31.30
+40.8%
6 min
16.1%
Kempton 17:30 10 runners, 4 outside the usual range
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Celtic John
29.46
13.98
-52.6%
under 1 min
7.1%
Ivat Ghia
12.20
5.90
-51.7%
under 1 min
3.4%
Mbappe
20.08
10.25
-49.0%
under 1 min
4.9%
Eulalia
18.71
11.48
-38.6%
under 1 min
8.7%
Snooker McCrew
18.98
13.98
-26.3%
under 1 min
7.1%
Knightmare
12.20
9.29
-23.9%
under 1 min
6.4%
Calaxy
33.90
26.95
-20.5%
under 1 min
7.6%
Wellwhatshappenin
4.89
5.20
+6.3%
under 1 min
3.8%
Lovely Jubly
6.29
6.70
+6.6%
under 1 min
2.9%
Lady Margret
38.39
44.84
+16.8%
under 1 min
13.5%
Kempton 18:00 10 runners
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Musashi
80.00
61.54
-23.1%
under 1 min
24.4%
Berkshire Boom
5.99
4.65
-22.4%
under 1 min
2.1%
Bird Of War
4.88
4.35
-10.9%
under 1 min
2.3%
Loquella
29.46
29.50
+0.1%
under 1 min
3.5%
Ahead Of Fashion
22.60
23.39
+3.5%
under 1 min
12.9%
Decalogue
3.97
4.20
+5.7%
under 1 min
one-sided
Flyta
21.51
23.39
+8.8%
under 1 min
12.9%
Jackabi
39.92
44.84
+12.3%
under 1 min
13.5%
Unionville
6.19
7.70
+24.3%
under 1 min
2.6%
Paranjape
17.87
23.39
+30.9%
under 1 min
12.9%
Kempton 18:30 6 runners, 1 outside the usual range
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Solar Swing
3.72
3.50
-6.1%
under 1 min
2.9%
National Honour
2.97
2.79
-5.9%
under 1 min
one-sided
Rupert The Brave
7.26
7.70
+6.0%
under 1 min
2.6%
Gut Reaction
49.38
53.33
+8.0%
under 1 min
22.1%
Farasan
5.15
5.90
+14.5%
under 1 min
3.4%
Intangible Truth
26.42
71.68
+171.3%
under 1 min
21.0%
Kempton 19:00 9 runners
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Nonrem
58.31
42.83
-26.6%
under 1 min
14.2%
Photo Op
70.18
53.33
-24.0%
under 1 min
22.1%
Blowing Up A Storm
9.90
7.99
-19.3%
under 1 min
5.0%
Pure Majesty
9.00
7.90
-12.2%
under 1 min
2.5%
Grey Tamam
4.70
4.55
-3.2%
under 1 min
2.2%
Bling
4.10
4.25
+3.7%
under 1 min
one-sided
Guadalevin
4.14
4.50
+8.5%
under 1 min
one-sided
Mistral Madness
80.00
88.89
+11.1%
2h
85.4%
Lady Jemima
19.96
27.40
+37.3%
under 1 min
11.0%
Kempton 19:30 7 runners, 3 outside the usual range
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Encore
2.70
1.57
-41.8%
under 1 min
1.3%
Missmisfortune
52.49
41.67
-20.6%
under 1 min
19.3%
Astronette
7.29
8.80
+20.7%
under 1 min
4.6%
Mystic Veil
12.41
17.71
+42.7%
under 1 min
8.3%
Pink Pyjamas
64.52
94.79
+46.9%
1h
10.5%
Forbidden Colours
2.97
6.59
+121.8%
under 1 min
6.0%
March Of Time
22.99
86.96
+278.3%
under 1 min
17.5%
Kempton 20:00 9 runners
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Valentine Boy
16.22
12.98
-20.0%
under 1 min
7.7%
Letmebetheboss
85.47
71.68
-16.1%
15 min
21.0%
Hot Silk
3.47
3.27
-5.6%
under 1 min
1.5%
Extraterrestrial
6.57
6.30
-4.2%
under 1 min
3.2%
Sax Avoidance
7.26
6.99
-3.7%
under 1 min
5.7%
Johnny Boom
44.84
46.84
+4.4%
under 1 min
12.7%
Three Socks On
4.95
5.50
+11.2%
under 1 min
3.6%
Hibernate
12.00
13.49
+12.3%
under 1 min
7.4%
Knight Of Storms
20.81
29.90
+43.6%
under 1 min
13.5%
Kempton 20:30 12 runners
Runner
First seen
Last seen
Move
Last look
Spread
Happier
4.25
3.52
-17.1%
under 1 min
4.3%
Kodicall
14.94
12.75
-14.7%
under 1 min
4.0%
Angel Summer
5.99
5.25
-12.4%
under 1 min
1.9%
Fort Augustus
47.62
43.96
-7.7%
15 min
9.3%
Barry The Worm
7.92
7.70
-2.8%
under 1 min
2.6%
Roy Lane
10.14
10.25
+1.1%
under 1 min
4.9%
Master Dandy
16.35
18.48
+13.0%
under 1 min
one-sided
Red Legs
80.00
95.24
+19.0%
1h 30m
83.3%
Athena's War
68.03
81.97
+20.5%
2h 30m
85.4%
Beelzebub
8.27
10.75
+29.9%
under 1 min
4.6%
Chasing Gold
14.43
19.21
+33.1%
under 1 min
7.9%
Voodoo Ray
74.07
99.01
+33.7%
15 min
20.0%
“One-sided” means the book had no back or no lay at our last look, so there was no spread to quote. It is the state of the book, not missing data.
What “usual” meant that day
The reference each move was judged against: every move we had measured over the 25 days before this one, by the price the runner opened at. The median is near zero in every band. What changes with the price is how far a move normally goes.
Opening price
Moves measured
5th pct
25th
Median
75th
95th pct
1.5 to 3
335
-18.0%
-7.0%
+1.0%
+11.0%
+38.2%
3 to 5
900
-26.1%
-9.7%
+1.3%
+13.3%
+39.1%
5 to 8
1,445
-31.2%
-11.5%
+0.7%
+13.6%
+48.7%
8 to 13
1,623
-33.4%
-13.2%
+1.1%
+18.0%
+56.3%
13 to 20
1,242
-38.3%
-15.6%
+1.6%
+22.6%
+65.6%
20 to 35
1,323
-42.3%
-16.6%
+4.1%
+27.1%
+92.1%
35 to 100
1,456
-56.3%
-28.4%
-5.5%
+17.8%
+64.9%
A runner is counted as outside the usual range when its move sits at or below the 5th percentile, or at or above the 95th, for its band. A runner whose opening price falls in a band with fewer than 100 measured moves is left out of the record rather than judged against too little.